Faith, Gustav:
http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000...Giants, Buccaneers among likely new playoff teams in 2016
By Gil Brandt
NFL Media senior analyst
Published: Sept. 21, 2016 at 10:44 a.m. Updated: Sept. 21, 2016 at 04:05 p.m.
If it seems like we see fresh faces in the playoffs every year, it's because, well, we do.
While we've all become accustomed to some amount of annual turnover among competitors in today's NFL, the actual numbers are eyebrow-raising when spelled out. Going back to 1990, at least four new teams -- that is, teams that did not make the playoffs in the previous season -- have hit the postseason every year.
Last season, the Texans, Chiefs, Vikings and Redskins reached the playoffs after failing to make the cut in 2014. With two weeks in the books this season, I thought I'd take an (extremely) early look at who could flip the script in 2016.
Below are (two of the) four teams I currently believe have the best chance to make the playoffs in 2016 after missing them in 2015:
1) New York Giants
This is the only team on this list that is really a cinch. The massive investment on defense (signing defensive end Olivier Vernon, cornerback Janoris Jenkins and defensive tackle Damon Harrison and drafting corner Eli Apple and safety Darian Thompson) is paying off. Through two weeks, the Giants have improved by 24 spots in defensive ranking (32 to eight), 19 spots in pass defense (32 to 13) and 20 spots in run defense (24 to four). In Week 1, New York held rookie back Ezekiel Elliott (running behind the Cowboys' vaunted line) to 2.6 yards per carry and a score on 20 attempts. In Week 2, the Giants limited Drew Brees and the Saints to 288 yards of offense and 13 points -- one season after losing a 52-49 shootout to New Orleans in which Brees and Co. rolled up 608 total yards. Jenkins (eight) and Apple (seven) led the team in tackles on Sunday, with Jenkins contributing a defensive touchdown on a blocked field-goal try. Coordinator Steve Spagnuolo is very good and will make great use of the new players and his returning stalwarts (including Johnathan Hankins, Jason Pierre-Paul and Landon Collins).
2015's eighth-ranked offense should be boosted by the return of receiver Victor Cruz (who's contributed a game-altering catch in each contest thus far) and the addition of rookie Sterling Shepard (14.5 yards per catch and a score). Quarterback Eli Manning is coming off an excellent season, and I expect him to continue thriving under head coach Ben McAdoo. The Giants were my preseason pick to emerge atop the NFC East, and they've only helped themselves in that cause.
2) Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Bucs took a step back Sunday after an impressive opening to the season, but I still ultimately feel improved play by quarterback Jameis Winston in Year 2 and better coaching by new head man Dirk Koetter will get this squad over the hump. Despite how 2015 ended, the Bucs were not terrible, ranking fifth in offense and 10th in defense, with a four-game collapse undoing an otherwise promising 6-6 start. Winston looked great in the preseason, and he continued to show those improvements in Week 1 (71.9 percent completion rate, 281 yards, four touchdowns against one pick and a 125.1 passer rating) before stumbling quite badly in Week 2 (51.9 percent completion rate for 243 yards, one touchdown against four picks, a fumble, three sacks and a 39.2 passer rating). Of course, some of that can be chalked up to a young player struggling on the road.
It's obviously never good to lose by 33 points. But for what it's worth, Sunday's debacle came against one of the best teams in the league in Arizona, with running back Doug Martin exiting early due to a hamstring injury. The Week 1 win, meanwhile, came against Atlanta -- and beating a divisional foe in hostile territory is practically like winning two games. Of course, losing Martin -- who will be out at least three weeks -- hurts, but the bottom line is, the Bucs are 1-0 in the NFC South. With Koetter -- who is really good at coaching quarterbacks -- coaxing a big year out of Winston, Tampa Bay should still be on track to nab a wild-card spot.