dk7th wrote:F500ONE wrote:dk7th wrote:F500ONE wrote:dk7th wrote:F500ONE wrote:dk7th wrote:mreinman wrote:dk7th wrote:F500ONE wrote:Jason Smith another WIDE OPEN 16ft, he made it
i know, with the midrange. power forwards 6'10" with the midrange. could be a trend. still, smith is so soft.
so you're for that shot too? mid range jumpers?
you just need to agree with what he says even if it makes zero sense?
very strange.
no i agree with you... that in a pure math sense 33% from 3 is as good as 50% from 2.
however, you have to look what the opponent will do with 66% of shots missed versus 50% of shots missed. so far as i know we don't have a metric for that.
so in the meantime in a practical/intuitive sense i think that the cutoff point for a successful 3 point regimen is a few tenths shy of 40%.anything lower and i think diminishing returns really kick in.
still strange?
I think what he wanted you to say was
Smith should have passed up shooting the WIDE OPEN shot
Because of where his location was at on the floor
This is the pure definition of intelligence
But to add to what you say there's also the ROI on 2s vs 3s
Paid in the form of getting teams in foul trouble and in the penalty
Which can force rotations sooner than desired and create mismatches in favor of the offense
More FTA are generated from taking shots inside the arc
I better slow down don't want to make you become dumberer here
no what you say makes sense as you explained it. i see a meta development in that (1) offenses stressed the 3-ball in order to stretch the defense and create driving lanes; (2) defenses have been geared towards closing out on threes so much that midrange shots are more available; (3) power forwards that are not stretch 4s are being told to work on that midrange.
it isn't a stretch to say that coaching staffs study film and look for any opening to exploit.
adapt or die. humphries did it the other night against the nets, griffin did it on national tv last week, dudes like smith or doing it tonight.
Yeah me and Uptown discussed this the other day with him
I'm not totally opposed to mran's philosophy in maximizing efficiency
Please stop referencing taking open shots[inside arc] as something stupid
Please stop saying uncontested midrange shots should not be a part of a team's offense
If a defender is not in your face and the defense is giving you
An open area on the court to do damage if by happen stance inside the arc then you take it
well surely he is not saying to not take an open shot? a contested 2 i understand of course, but a wide open 2?
Yes in this very game thread he most certainly all but said it
And-Or has stated it in past discussion, go back a page or two and you'll see
uh-huh okay i saw. i prefer red holzman's edict: "find the open man"
of course if the ball is being pounded there'll never be one
Red Holzman's coached with an arc?
Why do you and tk feel like you need to be smarter than what every coach and every system is now preaching?
Every advanced offense spreads you out with 3 or 4 shooters. If you run at them, they pump fake, drive and either get a shot in the lane, get fouled, or kick it out for a 3 point shot.
Of course there are going to be a few times where options run out and as a very last option, a long 2 is attempted. Even Houston shoots 6% of their shots between 16 and 23. Those shots are very bad options and it should only be taken if there is no other choice.
Why would someone set up there? They shouldn't and really don't anymore. If they run you off the arc, then you drive it all the way to the hole. You don't fake and stop and pop bet 16 and 23. Its stupid.
Again, this is not my own ideas obviously, its everybody elses. Nobody would argue with this unless you just want to argue. Provide one article that says otherwise. There is a gazilion of them that say what I have said.
And, do you get fouled more on 20 footers than 23 footers? And, ever think that if you spread the floor you open the lane?
Geeez, its like you guys are intentionally stuck in the early 70's.
please! supply just one article that supports this. Articles? Shot Charts? Anything ... I am willing to learn. Just don't just state things that are unsupported and just your personal opinions.
Hit the open man? What the hell is he doing at 20 feet?
And remember, the most contested shot in basketball is the long 2.
Want more shots at the rim? All for it. Those are only available if your spread the floor.
Of course there are going to be some in a game but there better be a good reason for it.
Draymond shooting 3's as I type - WTF!? LOL
If a player can either master the 3 and then master the long 2 at a really high rate, I am all for it. If he just can't hit the 3 at at least 35% and he can hit the long 2 at a very high rate (extremely rare since shooters are concentrating on maximizing efficiency. Korver aint sitting all day and practicing long 2's)
Here you guy Gallo's chart (notice a pattern?):