Knicks · Projecting The Top 50 Players In The 2015 NBA Draft Class - 538 Article (page 1)

Humble apologies if this has already been posted & dissected.

Too bad they don't have a way to include/rank foreign players. I like the model, and there could be some steals later in the draft.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/proj...

Jerian Grant at 42? Stanley Johnson at 3? Okay.

Yeah we have been discussing this list. It's very interesting. It makes picking Winslow look like a great idea.

The ranking on D'Angelo Russell is really interesting. He has a high chance of being a starter or better but also a very high chance of being a bust. Role player is almost non-existent.

I wish they explained the reasoning on an individual player basis at least for the top 5 - 10. Why is D'angelo such an outlier of a player?

Solace wrote:The ranking on D'Angelo Russell is really interesting. He has a high chance of being a starter or better but also a very high chance of being a bust. Role player is almost non-existent.

If he has a high bust potential then he shouldnt have a low roll player potential.

blkexec wrote:

Solace wrote:The ranking on D'Angelo Russell is really interesting. He has a high chance of being a starter or better but also a very high chance of being a bust. Role player is almost non-existent.

If he has a high bust potential then he shouldnt have a low roll player potential.

So if Russell is not a star....hes out of the league? Its like Russell doesnt have a middle ground. Star or out of the nba......yeah ok!

blkexec wrote:

Solace wrote:The ranking on D'Angelo Russell is really interesting. He has a high chance of being a starter or better but also a very high chance of being a bust. Role player is almost non-existent.

If he has a high bust potential then he shouldnt have a low roll player potential.

Yeah, that part is confusing to me. I guess there's some rationale that I don't understand from the article.

If these stats are to be believed (who knows), this would truly be the definition of 'High risk, High reward'.

the russell rating is probably influenced by his low 2p fg% or i think they used eff%... if you can't drive to the basket effectively it can quickly deteriorate any guards offense... you have to survive basically on spot ups...

marcus smart was a great prospect but was basically allergic to the paint his rookie year and turned in a pretty horrid season..

FistOfOakley wrote:the russell rating is probably influenced by his low 2p fg% or i think they used eff%... if you can't drive to the basket effectively it can quickly deteriorate any guards offense... you have to survive basically on spot ups...

marcus smart was a great prospect but was basically allergic to the paint his rookie year and turned in a pretty horrid season..

thanks for the explanation