Knicks · How do you rate our new additions in comparison to your expectations? (page 4)

nixluva @ 7/12/2016 10:07 PM
Bonn1997 wrote:
nixluva wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
nixluva wrote:
yellowboy90 wrote:
nixluva wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
yellowboy90 wrote:
nixluva wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
nixluva wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
yellowboy90 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
fishmike wrote:mreinman, dk... who are the guys Phil should have targeted that would have improved your offseason grades?

for starters, don't make the rose trade. undo that and we are in B territory.

So you wouldn't want to trade for this?


Nix - where did you get the 51% on drives figure? It seems inconsistent with the above info. I guess maybe he's 51% on drives and very low on other shots in the paint?

Just because a shot happens inside doesn't mean it came on a Drive, which is a very specific thing.


Player Team GP W L MIN DRIVES FGM FGA FG% FTM FTA FT% PTS PTS% PASS PASS% AST AST% TO TO% PF PF%
Derrick Rose CHI 66 32 34 31.8 8.9 2.8 5.5 51.0 1.3 1.7 76.1 6.9 76.9 2.1 23.3 0.6 6.5 0.6 7.1 1.0 11.5

http://stats.nba.com/tracking/#!/player/...

In Hornacek's spread style of offense I expect that Rose will find it easier to get into the paint and he can be more efficient with less traffic and defenders to protect the rim. Melo and KP can run High PnR and otherwise space the floor with Lee and allow Rose to be more successful. Especially when the Knicks go small with KP at Center.


OK, that's what I thought. Hopefully Rose and Melo cut out the low percentage contested shots they've been taking.

Hornacek's entire focus is on his players efficiency and he's going to put them in positions where the shots they take are almost forced to be higher % shots. IMO you have to help your players to understand what you want. He's not really looking to push mid range shots but instead keep forcing teams into bad choices that leave great shots at the rim or from 3 that come in rhythm and with enough space to be more successful. He's proven that he can create those kinds of looks with his schemes. That's what excites me the most about Hornacek as the Coach. He's clear minded about what he is looking to do with the team and how he wants them to play. He's Ultra Focused on Efficiency. He'll nitpick about bad shots more than a coach that isn't so focused on that. I believe it will make a difference.

Well hopefully it will work better for Rose than it did for Brandon Knight under Hornacek. I like Hornacek but sometimes players are who they are.


Yeah, I would actually say players usually are who they are

That can be true but when was Brandon Knight EVER able to play at the level Rose has at least shown he's capable when he was fully healthy and in top form? Rose has shown in the past that he could shoot more efficiently than he did last season. He did have the Eye issue this season along with not being able to work on his shooting as he needed and any player needs in order to be sharp. Rose did pick up his shooting efficiency during the season which isn't the final verdict on just how much better he can get in that regard. So IMO it's very probable that Rose will be a more efficient scorer and shooter next season.

His knees are always going to be a ticking time bomb of sorts. Not so much the ACL but the Meniscus tears that had to be cleaned up. That is Cartilage and so IMO that is the more serious concern for him. We don't know exactly where the tears were and how serious they are. The Knicks sent Derrick to the Hospital for Special Surgery in NYC to take a look at his knees and were reportedly "extremely happy". In the end that's all anyone can do.

The year he was traded to Phoenix, in Mil he has an TS% of 55.6% which was slightly higher than Rose's MVP year. That MVP just so happen to be rose's only efficient year.
The real issue is why didn't Rose get to the line and what happen to his defense last year.


TS%? Yes in that one sense he was on par with Rose, but in terms of overall impact I don't think many are gonna be singing Knights praises. Rose is even now a much more feared player with the ball in his hands.

Rose works too hard to avoid contact. He's always twisting and turning his body to avoid the foul, which he should not be doing but it's a habit he's doing almost unconsciously at this point. I doubt he will change that behavior. For me the important thing is for Rose to help push the pace and aggressiveness of this team. Being on the attack nearly constantly will have a very positive impact beyond his shooting %. I'm not sure people are grasping how that will change the way this team plays and how other teams defense can be disrupted.

Rose    8.9 Drives at 51%
Jose 2.2 Drives at 49%
Afflalo 2.2 Drives at 42%
Gallo 1.3 Drives at 48%
Grant 3.5 Drives at 46%

I expect that Rose will find it a bit easier to get driving lanes under Hornacek. He has a very unique focus on creating the space his guards need. Now he has the talent on the Knicks to really create that space with Melo, KP and Lee out there and particularly when they go with KP at Center and add another scorer in place of Noah.


There's more to the game than just drives though. If you take his overall #s (6.8 out of 15.9 shots a game) and subtract the drives (2.8 out of 5.5), apparently he shot .385 on non-drives, and that's twice as many attempts as his drives. You could say that will be better next year too, but it needs to be A LOT better. Or hopefully it will be a much lower number. I don't want a player shooting over ten times a game from spots where he hits at less than 39% of the time.

Once again this is where coaching comes in. A lot of this is about the spots players end up in due to the design and focus of the offensive scheme. How Hornacek chooses to use Rose will have a huge impact on his efficiency. It will also help to have talent like Melo and KP out there that teams will have to be concerned with at all times.

Just for clarity, a lot of the poor shooting last year came from his issues early on with his eyes. He had better shooting after his rough start and I believe he'll come into the season better than last year when he had vision problems. It's not that hard to believe he could come in with better conditioning and sharper shooting than he did last year with the Eye injury.

Month	 GP	MIN	FGM	FGA	FG%	3PM	3PA	3P%	FTM	FTA	FT%
October 3 32.1 5.7 15.3 37.0 0.0 1.3 0.0 2.3 3.0 77.8
November 10 32.7 5.4 15.3 35.3 0.6 2.6 23.1 1.9 2.4 79.2
December 14 32.9 6.4 15.4 41.4 0.7 2.5 28.6 1.9 2.8 66.7
January 13 30.4 7.4 15.7 47.1 0.5 1.8 29.2 2.3 2.4 96.8
February 8 33.1 8.5 19.4 43.9 0.8 2.4 31.6 4.1 4.9 84.6
March 15 30.0 7.1 15.3 46.1 1.0 2.5 40.5 1.5 2.1 71.0

April 3 34.3 5.7 15.0 37.8 0.0 1.7 0.0 1.7 2.0 83.3

He had better shooting but not good shooting. I calculated his TS% during that improved stretch a while ago and it was .515 (about 30 points below the league average). He needs to do better than he did during this better portion of last year. I'm not saying it can't happen but I don't expect best case scenarios to unfold in general and I definitely don't with this organization. We'll see. Yeah, it's possible, Nix.

I'm attempting to put things in perspective. I don't look at things in a vacuum. I agree Rose's shooting wasn't anything special, but it was progress and that was during the season when it's harder to make that kind of progress. He will have had a FULL offseason to work on his conditioning and shooting technique.

Keep this in mind when looking at Rose's shooting last season. The 1st day of practice and he suffers his injury:

Chicago Bulls guard Derrick Rose suffered an orbital fracture after being elbowed in the face during practice Tuesday and will require surgery. A timetable for his recovery and return is expected after surgery is complete on Wednesday.

Rose averaged 17.7 points and 4.9 assists last season but missed 31 games in part due to another knee procedure midseason.

If you can't understand how that combination of injuries and missed time could negatively impact his shooting when he came back wearing the mask then I don't know what to say. That would seem to me that you are unwilling to imagine that it set him back and that he's more than capable of improving with a full season of work. He's not coming off of any surgery this summer which should help him tremendously in preparing for next season!!! He hasn't been able to do that in years. I do not accept that this is simply who he is not because i'm not going to ignore the extenuation circumstances of surgeries setting back his ability to work on his conditioning and skills.

Also, on this Knicks team he'll have much better support IMO. He didn't have a Melo or KP for that matter. That will make a difference for him and his presence will help them as teams are much more distracted defensively.

Paris907 @ 7/12/2016 10:39 PM
About 6/8 weeks ago I touted a trade of Calderon and Melo for Rose Portis and Noah. Rose I felt was a sleeper Based on 2d half of the season and i didn't think Teague or Conley were worth it. Portis will be a player and Melo's next bday is 33. While to result has changed i feel we made out and if Noah's shoulder holds up we make out fine.
Bonn1997 @ 7/13/2016 7:42 AM
nixluva wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
nixluva wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
nixluva wrote:
yellowboy90 wrote:
nixluva wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
yellowboy90 wrote:
nixluva wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
nixluva wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
yellowboy90 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
fishmike wrote:mreinman, dk... who are the guys Phil should have targeted that would have improved your offseason grades?

for starters, don't make the rose trade. undo that and we are in B territory.

So you wouldn't want to trade for this?


Nix - where did you get the 51% on drives figure? It seems inconsistent with the above info. I guess maybe he's 51% on drives and very low on other shots in the paint?

Just because a shot happens inside doesn't mean it came on a Drive, which is a very specific thing.


Player Team GP W L MIN DRIVES FGM FGA FG% FTM FTA FT% PTS PTS% PASS PASS% AST AST% TO TO% PF PF%
Derrick Rose CHI 66 32 34 31.8 8.9 2.8 5.5 51.0 1.3 1.7 76.1 6.9 76.9 2.1 23.3 0.6 6.5 0.6 7.1 1.0 11.5

http://stats.nba.com/tracking/#!/player/...

In Hornacek's spread style of offense I expect that Rose will find it easier to get into the paint and he can be more efficient with less traffic and defenders to protect the rim. Melo and KP can run High PnR and otherwise space the floor with Lee and allow Rose to be more successful. Especially when the Knicks go small with KP at Center.


OK, that's what I thought. Hopefully Rose and Melo cut out the low percentage contested shots they've been taking.

Hornacek's entire focus is on his players efficiency and he's going to put them in positions where the shots they take are almost forced to be higher % shots. IMO you have to help your players to understand what you want. He's not really looking to push mid range shots but instead keep forcing teams into bad choices that leave great shots at the rim or from 3 that come in rhythm and with enough space to be more successful. He's proven that he can create those kinds of looks with his schemes. That's what excites me the most about Hornacek as the Coach. He's clear minded about what he is looking to do with the team and how he wants them to play. He's Ultra Focused on Efficiency. He'll nitpick about bad shots more than a coach that isn't so focused on that. I believe it will make a difference.

Well hopefully it will work better for Rose than it did for Brandon Knight under Hornacek. I like Hornacek but sometimes players are who they are.


Yeah, I would actually say players usually are who they are

That can be true but when was Brandon Knight EVER able to play at the level Rose has at least shown he's capable when he was fully healthy and in top form? Rose has shown in the past that he could shoot more efficiently than he did last season. He did have the Eye issue this season along with not being able to work on his shooting as he needed and any player needs in order to be sharp. Rose did pick up his shooting efficiency during the season which isn't the final verdict on just how much better he can get in that regard. So IMO it's very probable that Rose will be a more efficient scorer and shooter next season.

His knees are always going to be a ticking time bomb of sorts. Not so much the ACL but the Meniscus tears that had to be cleaned up. That is Cartilage and so IMO that is the more serious concern for him. We don't know exactly where the tears were and how serious they are. The Knicks sent Derrick to the Hospital for Special Surgery in NYC to take a look at his knees and were reportedly "extremely happy". In the end that's all anyone can do.

The year he was traded to Phoenix, in Mil he has an TS% of 55.6% which was slightly higher than Rose's MVP year. That MVP just so happen to be rose's only efficient year.
The real issue is why didn't Rose get to the line and what happen to his defense last year.


TS%? Yes in that one sense he was on par with Rose, but in terms of overall impact I don't think many are gonna be singing Knights praises. Rose is even now a much more feared player with the ball in his hands.

Rose works too hard to avoid contact. He's always twisting and turning his body to avoid the foul, which he should not be doing but it's a habit he's doing almost unconsciously at this point. I doubt he will change that behavior. For me the important thing is for Rose to help push the pace and aggressiveness of this team. Being on the attack nearly constantly will have a very positive impact beyond his shooting %. I'm not sure people are grasping how that will change the way this team plays and how other teams defense can be disrupted.

Rose    8.9 Drives at 51%
Jose 2.2 Drives at 49%
Afflalo 2.2 Drives at 42%
Gallo 1.3 Drives at 48%
Grant 3.5 Drives at 46%

I expect that Rose will find it a bit easier to get driving lanes under Hornacek. He has a very unique focus on creating the space his guards need. Now he has the talent on the Knicks to really create that space with Melo, KP and Lee out there and particularly when they go with KP at Center and add another scorer in place of Noah.


There's more to the game than just drives though. If you take his overall #s (6.8 out of 15.9 shots a game) and subtract the drives (2.8 out of 5.5), apparently he shot .385 on non-drives, and that's twice as many attempts as his drives. You could say that will be better next year too, but it needs to be A LOT better. Or hopefully it will be a much lower number. I don't want a player shooting over ten times a game from spots where he hits at less than 39% of the time.

Once again this is where coaching comes in. A lot of this is about the spots players end up in due to the design and focus of the offensive scheme. How Hornacek chooses to use Rose will have a huge impact on his efficiency. It will also help to have talent like Melo and KP out there that teams will have to be concerned with at all times.

Just for clarity, a lot of the poor shooting last year came from his issues early on with his eyes. He had better shooting after his rough start and I believe he'll come into the season better than last year when he had vision problems. It's not that hard to believe he could come in with better conditioning and sharper shooting than he did last year with the Eye injury.

Month	 GP	MIN	FGM	FGA	FG%	3PM	3PA	3P%	FTM	FTA	FT%
October 3 32.1 5.7 15.3 37.0 0.0 1.3 0.0 2.3 3.0 77.8
November 10 32.7 5.4 15.3 35.3 0.6 2.6 23.1 1.9 2.4 79.2
December 14 32.9 6.4 15.4 41.4 0.7 2.5 28.6 1.9 2.8 66.7
January 13 30.4 7.4 15.7 47.1 0.5 1.8 29.2 2.3 2.4 96.8
February 8 33.1 8.5 19.4 43.9 0.8 2.4 31.6 4.1 4.9 84.6
March 15 30.0 7.1 15.3 46.1 1.0 2.5 40.5 1.5 2.1 71.0

April 3 34.3 5.7 15.0 37.8 0.0 1.7 0.0 1.7 2.0 83.3

He had better shooting but not good shooting. I calculated his TS% during that improved stretch a while ago and it was .515 (about 30 points below the league average). He needs to do better than he did during this better portion of last year. I'm not saying it can't happen but I don't expect best case scenarios to unfold in general and I definitely don't with this organization. We'll see. Yeah, it's possible, Nix.

I'm attempting to put things in perspective. I don't look at things in a vacuum. I agree Rose's shooting wasn't anything special, but it was progress and that was during the season when it's harder to make that kind of progress. He will have had a FULL offseason to work on his conditioning and shooting technique.

Keep this in mind when looking at Rose's shooting last season. The 1st day of practice and he suffers his injury:

Chicago Bulls guard Derrick Rose suffered an orbital fracture after being elbowed in the face during practice Tuesday and will require surgery. A timetable for his recovery and return is expected after surgery is complete on Wednesday.

Rose averaged 17.7 points and 4.9 assists last season but missed 31 games in part due to another knee procedure midseason.

If you can't understand how that combination of injuries and missed time could negatively impact his shooting when he came back wearing the mask then I don't know what to say. That would seem to me that you are unwilling to imagine that it set him back and that he's more than capable of improving with a full season of work. He's not coming off of any surgery this summer which should help him tremendously in preparing for next season!!! He hasn't been able to do that in years. I do not accept that this is simply who he is not because i'm not going to ignore the extenuation circumstances of surgeries setting back his ability to work on his conditioning and skills.

Also, on this Knicks team he'll have much better support IMO. He didn't have a Melo or KP for that matter. That will make a difference for him and his presence will help them as teams are much more distracted defensively.


Oh I can imagine anything. I can imagine that he is better than his MVP year. The problem is that an extensive injury history usually doesn't predict future improvement. It usually predicts more injuries.
franco12 @ 7/13/2016 7:54 AM
fishmike wrote:
franco12 wrote:
crzymdups wrote:
mreinman wrote:
fishmike wrote:mreinman, dk... who are the guys Phil should have targeted that would have improved your offseason grades?

for starters, don't make the rose trade. undo that and we are in B territory.

Rose begat Noah, Noah begat CLee.

Our off-season would be Brandon Jennings anddddd... what else?

If we got Jennings, kept Lopez and perhaps kept D Williams & maybe still added Courtney Lee - to me, that might have been the kind of incremental improvement we needed, get to 40 wins+/- and then add a late lottery/Mid 1st round pick to the mix for the following year, and then maybe be in play for Westbrook.

And then the play off drive starts then.

But, hey, we're just keyboard GMs.

So you think a 40 win roster is going to entice Westbrook? Cmon man... you are just not watching the NBA or paying attention.

However I have a simple retort, and I asked Bonn this in another thread and he ducked it. If you believe in incremental improvement I have a very simple question. Knicks win 41 games with this roster next year. Based on your expectation that is a successful correct?

I am probably naive to think before these moves we had a shot at Westbrook. I'd like to think if we had a solid foundation with parts that were in place playing a system, and improving- that and max dollars might be enough.

But I'm not a swing for the fences thinker, not with our franchise as it stands with the base of talent.

That is why to answer your question - if the Knicks win 41 games with this roster, no, I don't judge that successful. It needs to be better. Phil has gone all in (minus future draft picks, at this stage) and gambled in a big way, turning over the roster for what, the 5th or 6th time in the last 5/6 years?

He's signed Noah & Lee to big money. Melo, Noah & Lee together take up 55% of our cap. I just think that is unbalanced and creates issues down the line when these players at the wrong side of their athletic careers start to inevitably break down.

To me, with the moves Phil has made, he better win more than 41 games and they better make the play offs.

Based on the talent and resources we had, I felt we weren't anywhere close to being able to be in a win now position.

And worse, this franchise has been stuck in the dump because our owner has had a win now at any and all cost mentality.

Look, I like Phil and I like that he has pushed Dolan out of the picture. I just don't like I see what appears to be a repeat of past sins.

On paper, this squad looks improved. But we've thought and said that before.

Bonn1997 @ 7/13/2016 8:27 AM
franco12 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
franco12 wrote:
crzymdups wrote:
mreinman wrote:
fishmike wrote:mreinman, dk... who are the guys Phil should have targeted that would have improved your offseason grades?

for starters, don't make the rose trade. undo that and we are in B territory.

Rose begat Noah, Noah begat CLee.

Our off-season would be Brandon Jennings anddddd... what else?

If we got Jennings, kept Lopez and perhaps kept D Williams & maybe still added Courtney Lee - to me, that might have been the kind of incremental improvement we needed, get to 40 wins+/- and then add a late lottery/Mid 1st round pick to the mix for the following year, and then maybe be in play for Westbrook.

And then the play off drive starts then.

But, hey, we're just keyboard GMs.

So you think a 40 win roster is going to entice Westbrook? Cmon man... you are just not watching the NBA or paying attention.

However I have a simple retort, and I asked Bonn this in another thread and he ducked it. If you believe in incremental improvement I have a very simple question. Knicks win 41 games with this roster next year. Based on your expectation that is a successful correct?

I am probably naive to think before these moves we had a shot at Westbrook. I'd like to think if we had a solid foundation with parts that were in place playing a system, and improving- that and max dollars might be enough.

But I'm not a swing for the fences thinker, not with our franchise as it stands with the base of talent.

That is why to answer your question - if the Knicks win 41 games with this roster, no, I don't judge that successful. It needs to be better. Phil has gone all in (minus future draft picks, at this stage) and gambled in a big way, turning over the roster for what, the 5th or 6th time in the last 5/6 years?

He's signed Noah & Lee to big money. Melo, Noah & Lee together take up 55% of our cap. I just think that is unbalanced and creates issues down the line when these players at the wrong side of their athletic careers start to inevitably break down.

To me, with the moves Phil has made, he better win more than 41 games and they better make the play offs.

Based on the talent and resources we had, I felt we weren't anywhere close to being able to be in a win now position.

And worse, this franchise has been stuck in the dump because our owner has had a win now at any and all cost mentality.

Look, I like Phil and I like that he has pushed Dolan out of the picture. I just don't like I see what appears to be a repeat of past sins.

On paper, this squad looks improved. But we've thought and said that before.


Yeah, you can't judge win total outside of this context - like you described. 41 wins could be the peak or it could be the beginning of incremental improvement. If most of your rotation players are veterans and it's 41 wins, that's a night and day difference than if most of the players are just entering their primes.
jrodmc @ 7/13/2016 9:03 AM
Why I am not a B, C or D:
Rose, Noah, Lee, Jennings, all players with huge shoulder chips and some with very limited contracts. Produce or move on.
Our bench backcourt is better than our starting backcourt from last year. Holiday could be the new H20! Dude gives it up for Jesus! This franchise needs all the prayers for health it can get.
We are younger, more european (maybe that means nothing) and more athletic. At least from watching the youtube clips.

Why I am not pushing for an A+:
Disappointed we couldn't keep DWill. I love reclamation stories and he would have made that bench fairly scary in a proven way at SF, as opposed to some of the hopes and dreams we have now.

Hernangomez/KP
LT
DWill
Holiday
Jennings

To me, that would have been a fairly decent Defensive lineup, along with enough firepower to push some third quarter leads, and/or hold off an opponents third quarter surges.

CrushAlot @ 7/13/2016 9:32 AM
franco12 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
franco12 wrote:
crzymdups wrote:
mreinman wrote:
fishmike wrote:mreinman, dk... who are the guys Phil should have targeted that would have improved your offseason grades?

for starters, don't make the rose trade. undo that and we are in B territory.

Rose begat Noah, Noah begat CLee.

Our off-season would be Brandon Jennings anddddd... what else?

If we got Jennings, kept Lopez and perhaps kept D Williams & maybe still added Courtney Lee - to me, that might have been the kind of incremental improvement we needed, get to 40 wins+/- and then add a late lottery/Mid 1st round pick to the mix for the following year, and then maybe be in play for Westbrook.

And then the play off drive starts then.

But, hey, we're just keyboard GMs.

So you think a 40 win roster is going to entice Westbrook? Cmon man... you are just not watching the NBA or paying attention.

However I have a simple retort, and I asked Bonn this in another thread and he ducked it. If you believe in incremental improvement I have a very simple question. Knicks win 41 games with this roster next year. Based on your expectation that is a successful correct?

I am probably naive to think before these moves we had a shot at Westbrook. I'd like to think if we had a solid foundation with parts that were in place playing a system, and improving- that and max dollars might be enough.

But I'm not a swing for the fences thinker, not with our franchise as it stands with the base of talent.

That is why to answer your question - if the Knicks win 41 games with this roster, no, I don't judge that successful. It needs to be better. Phil has gone all in (minus future draft picks, at this stage) and gambled in a big way, turning over the roster for what, the 5th or 6th time in the last 5/6 years?

He's signed Noah & Lee to big money. Melo, Noah & Lee together take up 55% of our cap. I just think that is unbalanced and creates issues down the line when these players at the wrong side of their athletic careers start to inevitably break down.

To me, with the moves Phil has made, he better win more than 41 games and they better make the play offs.

Based on the talent and resources we had, I felt we weren't anywhere close to being able to be in a win now position.

And worse, this franchise has been stuck in the dump because our owner has had a win now at any and all cost mentality.

Look, I like Phil and I like that he has pushed Dolan out of the picture. I just don't like I see what appears to be a repeat of past sins.

On paper, this squad looks improved. But we've thought and said that before.


Maybe it comes down to how you view what all in is. In the past all in would involve trading draft picks, young players and signing injury hobbled superstars to long term deals that they could never live up to. The Knicks did trade Grant and that could come back to bite them. But Holiday, Rose and a 2017 second round pick can't be characterized as taking back old guys or guys in the twilight of their careers. The Noah signing might be the closest to an all in move that resembles moves of previous knick regimes. But Noah is the ultimate intangibles guy and a leader. He brings so much to a team that giving him the money and years he got May we'll be worth it. Lee signed a below market deal at least in part because Noah recruited him.
I don't think the Knicks went all in. They have all of their picks, cap space and the opportunity to reset if needed after next season.
nixluva @ 7/13/2016 10:04 AM
Bonn1997 wrote:
nixluva wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
nixluva wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
nixluva wrote:
yellowboy90 wrote:
nixluva wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
yellowboy90 wrote:
nixluva wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
nixluva wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
yellowboy90 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
fishmike wrote:mreinman, dk... who are the guys Phil should have targeted that would have improved your offseason grades?

for starters, don't make the rose trade. undo that and we are in B territory.

So you wouldn't want to trade for this?


Nix - where did you get the 51% on drives figure? It seems inconsistent with the above info. I guess maybe he's 51% on drives and very low on other shots in the paint?

Just because a shot happens inside doesn't mean it came on a Drive, which is a very specific thing.


Player Team GP W L MIN DRIVES FGM FGA FG% FTM FTA FT% PTS PTS% PASS PASS% AST AST% TO TO% PF PF%
Derrick Rose CHI 66 32 34 31.8 8.9 2.8 5.5 51.0 1.3 1.7 76.1 6.9 76.9 2.1 23.3 0.6 6.5 0.6 7.1 1.0 11.5

http://stats.nba.com/tracking/#!/player/...

In Hornacek's spread style of offense I expect that Rose will find it easier to get into the paint and he can be more efficient with less traffic and defenders to protect the rim. Melo and KP can run High PnR and otherwise space the floor with Lee and allow Rose to be more successful. Especially when the Knicks go small with KP at Center.


OK, that's what I thought. Hopefully Rose and Melo cut out the low percentage contested shots they've been taking.

Hornacek's entire focus is on his players efficiency and he's going to put them in positions where the shots they take are almost forced to be higher % shots. IMO you have to help your players to understand what you want. He's not really looking to push mid range shots but instead keep forcing teams into bad choices that leave great shots at the rim or from 3 that come in rhythm and with enough space to be more successful. He's proven that he can create those kinds of looks with his schemes. That's what excites me the most about Hornacek as the Coach. He's clear minded about what he is looking to do with the team and how he wants them to play. He's Ultra Focused on Efficiency. He'll nitpick about bad shots more than a coach that isn't so focused on that. I believe it will make a difference.

Well hopefully it will work better for Rose than it did for Brandon Knight under Hornacek. I like Hornacek but sometimes players are who they are.


Yeah, I would actually say players usually are who they are

That can be true but when was Brandon Knight EVER able to play at the level Rose has at least shown he's capable when he was fully healthy and in top form? Rose has shown in the past that he could shoot more efficiently than he did last season. He did have the Eye issue this season along with not being able to work on his shooting as he needed and any player needs in order to be sharp. Rose did pick up his shooting efficiency during the season which isn't the final verdict on just how much better he can get in that regard. So IMO it's very probable that Rose will be a more efficient scorer and shooter next season.

His knees are always going to be a ticking time bomb of sorts. Not so much the ACL but the Meniscus tears that had to be cleaned up. That is Cartilage and so IMO that is the more serious concern for him. We don't know exactly where the tears were and how serious they are. The Knicks sent Derrick to the Hospital for Special Surgery in NYC to take a look at his knees and were reportedly "extremely happy". In the end that's all anyone can do.

The year he was traded to Phoenix, in Mil he has an TS% of 55.6% which was slightly higher than Rose's MVP year. That MVP just so happen to be rose's only efficient year.
The real issue is why didn't Rose get to the line and what happen to his defense last year.


TS%? Yes in that one sense he was on par with Rose, but in terms of overall impact I don't think many are gonna be singing Knights praises. Rose is even now a much more feared player with the ball in his hands.

Rose works too hard to avoid contact. He's always twisting and turning his body to avoid the foul, which he should not be doing but it's a habit he's doing almost unconsciously at this point. I doubt he will change that behavior. For me the important thing is for Rose to help push the pace and aggressiveness of this team. Being on the attack nearly constantly will have a very positive impact beyond his shooting %. I'm not sure people are grasping how that will change the way this team plays and how other teams defense can be disrupted.

Rose    8.9 Drives at 51%
Jose 2.2 Drives at 49%
Afflalo 2.2 Drives at 42%
Gallo 1.3 Drives at 48%
Grant 3.5 Drives at 46%

I expect that Rose will find it a bit easier to get driving lanes under Hornacek. He has a very unique focus on creating the space his guards need. Now he has the talent on the Knicks to really create that space with Melo, KP and Lee out there and particularly when they go with KP at Center and add another scorer in place of Noah.


There's more to the game than just drives though. If you take his overall #s (6.8 out of 15.9 shots a game) and subtract the drives (2.8 out of 5.5), apparently he shot .385 on non-drives, and that's twice as many attempts as his drives. You could say that will be better next year too, but it needs to be A LOT better. Or hopefully it will be a much lower number. I don't want a player shooting over ten times a game from spots where he hits at less than 39% of the time.

Once again this is where coaching comes in. A lot of this is about the spots players end up in due to the design and focus of the offensive scheme. How Hornacek chooses to use Rose will have a huge impact on his efficiency. It will also help to have talent like Melo and KP out there that teams will have to be concerned with at all times.

Just for clarity, a lot of the poor shooting last year came from his issues early on with his eyes. He had better shooting after his rough start and I believe he'll come into the season better than last year when he had vision problems. It's not that hard to believe he could come in with better conditioning and sharper shooting than he did last year with the Eye injury.

Month	 GP	MIN	FGM	FGA	FG%	3PM	3PA	3P%	FTM	FTA	FT%
October 3 32.1 5.7 15.3 37.0 0.0 1.3 0.0 2.3 3.0 77.8
November 10 32.7 5.4 15.3 35.3 0.6 2.6 23.1 1.9 2.4 79.2
December 14 32.9 6.4 15.4 41.4 0.7 2.5 28.6 1.9 2.8 66.7
January 13 30.4 7.4 15.7 47.1 0.5 1.8 29.2 2.3 2.4 96.8
February 8 33.1 8.5 19.4 43.9 0.8 2.4 31.6 4.1 4.9 84.6
March 15 30.0 7.1 15.3 46.1 1.0 2.5 40.5 1.5 2.1 71.0

April 3 34.3 5.7 15.0 37.8 0.0 1.7 0.0 1.7 2.0 83.3

He had better shooting but not good shooting. I calculated his TS% during that improved stretch a while ago and it was .515 (about 30 points below the league average). He needs to do better than he did during this better portion of last year. I'm not saying it can't happen but I don't expect best case scenarios to unfold in general and I definitely don't with this organization. We'll see. Yeah, it's possible, Nix.

I'm attempting to put things in perspective. I don't look at things in a vacuum. I agree Rose's shooting wasn't anything special, but it was progress and that was during the season when it's harder to make that kind of progress. He will have had a FULL offseason to work on his conditioning and shooting technique.

Keep this in mind when looking at Rose's shooting last season. The 1st day of practice and he suffers his injury:

Chicago Bulls guard Derrick Rose suffered an orbital fracture after being elbowed in the face during practice Tuesday and will require surgery. A timetable for his recovery and return is expected after surgery is complete on Wednesday.

Rose averaged 17.7 points and 4.9 assists last season but missed 31 games in part due to another knee procedure midseason.

If you can't understand how that combination of injuries and missed time could negatively impact his shooting when he came back wearing the mask then I don't know what to say. That would seem to me that you are unwilling to imagine that it set him back and that he's more than capable of improving with a full season of work. He's not coming off of any surgery this summer which should help him tremendously in preparing for next season!!! He hasn't been able to do that in years. I do not accept that this is simply who he is not because i'm not going to ignore the extenuation circumstances of surgeries setting back his ability to work on his conditioning and skills.

Also, on this Knicks team he'll have much better support IMO. He didn't have a Melo or KP for that matter. That will make a difference for him and his presence will help them as teams are much more distracted defensively.


Oh I can imagine anything. I can imagine that he is better than his MVP year. The problem is that an extensive injury history usually doesn't predict future improvement. It usually predicts more injuries.

It's easy to stick to the trope about being injured and that leading to more injury but in fact there have been MANY instances of players overcoming serious injury and getting back on track. ACL is such a scary sounding injury but modern techniques have been pretty successful. The Meniscus Tears concern me long term since that's actual cartilage that he needs. However, we can't know the extent of the tears or location. Was it a lot removed or a little?

2011-12 season playoffs, Rose tears his Left ACL 
Misses all of 2012-13. misses 82 games
Comes back in 2013-14. November 2013 tears his Right Meniscus plays in only 10 games
Comes back in 2014-15. Feb 2015 tears Right Meniscus again plays in only 51 games
Comes back in 2015-16. Breaks his Orbital - plays in only 66 games

If you look at Rose's history, he's really only played in 127 out of a possible 328 regular season games! He's had 3 procedures but not a lot of wear and tear over the last 4 years. It's not like he's played a full 82 plus playoffs for 4 straight years and accumulating more wear. IMO people could be overstating the issues because of the missed games, but that doesn't mean the injury history will stop Rose from regaining his form.

The Knicks checked out Rose's Knees and were extremely happy with what they saw. It's possible that Rose can have a bounce back season with a full offseason of conditioning and skills work, minus having to deal with another recent surgery as he's had in the past seasons. He's yet another year removed from the surgery which is often when you see a player start to fully regain their conditioning and strength.

fishmike @ 7/13/2016 11:02 AM
franco12 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
franco12 wrote:
crzymdups wrote:
mreinman wrote:
fishmike wrote:mreinman, dk... who are the guys Phil should have targeted that would have improved your offseason grades?

for starters, don't make the rose trade. undo that and we are in B territory.

Rose begat Noah, Noah begat CLee.

Our off-season would be Brandon Jennings anddddd... what else?

If we got Jennings, kept Lopez and perhaps kept D Williams & maybe still added Courtney Lee - to me, that might have been the kind of incremental improvement we needed, get to 40 wins+/- and then add a late lottery/Mid 1st round pick to the mix for the following year, and then maybe be in play for Westbrook.

And then the play off drive starts then.

But, hey, we're just keyboard GMs.

So you think a 40 win roster is going to entice Westbrook? Cmon man... you are just not watching the NBA or paying attention.

However I have a simple retort, and I asked Bonn this in another thread and he ducked it. If you believe in incremental improvement I have a very simple question. Knicks win 41 games with this roster next year. Based on your expectation that is a successful correct?

I am probably naive to think before these moves we had a shot at Westbrook. I'd like to think if we had a solid foundation with parts that were in place playing a system, and improving- that and max dollars might be enough.

But I'm not a swing for the fences thinker, not with our franchise as it stands with the base of talent.

That is why to answer your question - if the Knicks win 41 games with this roster, no, I don't judge that successful. It needs to be better. Phil has gone all in (minus future draft picks, at this stage) and gambled in a big way, turning over the roster for what, the 5th or 6th time in the last 5/6 years?

He's signed Noah & Lee to big money. Melo, Noah & Lee together take up 55% of our cap. I just think that is unbalanced and creates issues down the line when these players at the wrong side of their athletic careers start to inevitably break down.

To me, with the moves Phil has made, he better win more than 41 games and they better make the play offs.

Based on the talent and resources we had, I felt we weren't anywhere close to being able to be in a win now position.

And worse, this franchise has been stuck in the dump because our owner has had a win now at any and all cost mentality.

Look, I like Phil and I like that he has pushed Dolan out of the picture. I just don't like I see what appears to be a repeat of past sins.

On paper, this squad looks improved. But we've thought and said that before.

Phil has gone all in by sacrificing what? Grant and Lopez and Calderon? Those are the player you are holding against Phil's "ALL IN?"

I am sorry man, but that doesn't hold any water to with at all. I mean you are literally saying if we traded Lopez, Grant and Jose well we better be good! As far as the roster turnover who are the guys you lament losing? We didn't add win now players. Willy is signed for 4 years (rookie). Kuz is signed for 2 years (26 year old 4x all star in EU). Jennings and Rose are rentals with an option to buy and Rose/Jennings/Lee/Holiday replaces Jose/Langston/Grant/Afflalo.

Sorry I need you to better explain what was sacrificed for this team to be excluded from your incremental is good plan.

You are right.. the roster has been flipped 3x. Its a rebuild. First time was a cleanse and the last two both times the team got better. Much better.

nixluva @ 7/13/2016 11:32 AM
fishmike wrote:
franco12 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
franco12 wrote:
crzymdups wrote:
mreinman wrote:
fishmike wrote:mreinman, dk... who are the guys Phil should have targeted that would have improved your offseason grades?

for starters, don't make the rose trade. undo that and we are in B territory.

Rose begat Noah, Noah begat CLee.

Our off-season would be Brandon Jennings anddddd... what else?

If we got Jennings, kept Lopez and perhaps kept D Williams & maybe still added Courtney Lee - to me, that might have been the kind of incremental improvement we needed, get to 40 wins+/- and then add a late lottery/Mid 1st round pick to the mix for the following year, and then maybe be in play for Westbrook.

And then the play off drive starts then.

But, hey, we're just keyboard GMs.

So you think a 40 win roster is going to entice Westbrook? Cmon man... you are just not watching the NBA or paying attention.

However I have a simple retort, and I asked Bonn this in another thread and he ducked it. If you believe in incremental improvement I have a very simple question. Knicks win 41 games with this roster next year. Based on your expectation that is a successful correct?

I am probably naive to think before these moves we had a shot at Westbrook. I'd like to think if we had a solid foundation with parts that were in place playing a system, and improving- that and max dollars might be enough.

But I'm not a swing for the fences thinker, not with our franchise as it stands with the base of talent.

That is why to answer your question - if the Knicks win 41 games with this roster, no, I don't judge that successful. It needs to be better. Phil has gone all in (minus future draft picks, at this stage) and gambled in a big way, turning over the roster for what, the 5th or 6th time in the last 5/6 years?

He's signed Noah & Lee to big money. Melo, Noah & Lee together take up 55% of our cap. I just think that is unbalanced and creates issues down the line when these players at the wrong side of their athletic careers start to inevitably break down.

To me, with the moves Phil has made, he better win more than 41 games and they better make the play offs.

Based on the talent and resources we had, I felt we weren't anywhere close to being able to be in a win now position.

And worse, this franchise has been stuck in the dump because our owner has had a win now at any and all cost mentality.

Look, I like Phil and I like that he has pushed Dolan out of the picture. I just don't like I see what appears to be a repeat of past sins.

On paper, this squad looks improved. But we've thought and said that before.

Phil has gone all in by sacrificing what? Grant and Lopez and Calderon? Those are the player you are holding against Phil's "ALL IN?"

I am sorry man, but that doesn't hold any water to with at all. I mean you are literally saying if we traded Lopez, Grant and Jose well we better be good! As far as the roster turnover who are the guys you lament losing? We didn't add win now players. Willy is signed for 4 years (rookie). Kuz is signed for 2 years (26 year old 4x all star in EU). Jennings and Rose are rentals with an option to buy and Rose/Jennings/Lee/Holiday replaces Jose/Langston/Grant/Afflalo.

Sorry I need you to better explain what was sacrificed for this team to be excluded from your incremental is good plan.

You are right.. the roster has been flipped 3x. Its a rebuild. First time was a cleanse and the last two both times the team got better. Much better.


Exactly. People seem not to quite understand. The PLAN is to WIN. They aren't just gonna be patient with bad players. The entire point of Free Agency is to try and get better QUICKLY!!! Boston adds KG and Allen both at older ages.

Champion 2007-08 Celtics

Rk	Player	         Age ▾	G	GS	MP	
1 Paul Pierce 30 80 80 2874
2 Ray Allen 32 73 73 2624
3 Kevin Garnett 31 71 71 2328
4 Rajon Rondo 21 77 77 2306
5 Kendrick Perkins 23 78 78 1912
6 James Posey 31 74 2 1821
7 Eddie House 29 78 2 1480
8 Tony Allen 26 75 11 1373
9 Brian Scalabrine 29 48 9 512
10 Leon Powe 24 56 5 809
11 Glen Davis 22 69 1 940
12 Sam Cassell 38 17 1 299
13 P.J. Brown 38 18 0 209
14 Scot Pollard 32 22 0 173

This isn't some wild and unprecedented approach. Phil has himself had teams with a similar structure and age ratio MANY times in his career.

shinmen @ 7/13/2016 11:54 AM
nixluva wrote:
fishmike wrote:
franco12 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
franco12 wrote:
crzymdups wrote:
mreinman wrote:
fishmike wrote:mreinman, dk... who are the guys Phil should have targeted that would have improved your offseason grades?

for starters, don't make the rose trade. undo that and we are in B territory.

Rose begat Noah, Noah begat CLee.

Our off-season would be Brandon Jennings anddddd... what else?

If we got Jennings, kept Lopez and perhaps kept D Williams & maybe still added Courtney Lee - to me, that might have been the kind of incremental improvement we needed, get to 40 wins+/- and then add a late lottery/Mid 1st round pick to the mix for the following year, and then maybe be in play for Westbrook.

And then the play off drive starts then.

But, hey, we're just keyboard GMs.

So you think a 40 win roster is going to entice Westbrook? Cmon man... you are just not watching the NBA or paying attention.

However I have a simple retort, and I asked Bonn this in another thread and he ducked it. If you believe in incremental improvement I have a very simple question. Knicks win 41 games with this roster next year. Based on your expectation that is a successful correct?

I am probably naive to think before these moves we had a shot at Westbrook. I'd like to think if we had a solid foundation with parts that were in place playing a system, and improving- that and max dollars might be enough.

But I'm not a swing for the fences thinker, not with our franchise as it stands with the base of talent.

That is why to answer your question - if the Knicks win 41 games with this roster, no, I don't judge that successful. It needs to be better. Phil has gone all in (minus future draft picks, at this stage) and gambled in a big way, turning over the roster for what, the 5th or 6th time in the last 5/6 years?

He's signed Noah & Lee to big money. Melo, Noah & Lee together take up 55% of our cap. I just think that is unbalanced and creates issues down the line when these players at the wrong side of their athletic careers start to inevitably break down.

To me, with the moves Phil has made, he better win more than 41 games and they better make the play offs.

Based on the talent and resources we had, I felt we weren't anywhere close to being able to be in a win now position.

And worse, this franchise has been stuck in the dump because our owner has had a win now at any and all cost mentality.

Look, I like Phil and I like that he has pushed Dolan out of the picture. I just don't like I see what appears to be a repeat of past sins.

On paper, this squad looks improved. But we've thought and said that before.

Phil has gone all in by sacrificing what? Grant and Lopez and Calderon? Those are the player you are holding against Phil's "ALL IN?"

I am sorry man, but that doesn't hold any water to with at all. I mean you are literally saying if we traded Lopez, Grant and Jose well we better be good! As far as the roster turnover who are the guys you lament losing? We didn't add win now players. Willy is signed for 4 years (rookie). Kuz is signed for 2 years (26 year old 4x all star in EU). Jennings and Rose are rentals with an option to buy and Rose/Jennings/Lee/Holiday replaces Jose/Langston/Grant/Afflalo.

Sorry I need you to better explain what was sacrificed for this team to be excluded from your incremental is good plan.

You are right.. the roster has been flipped 3x. Its a rebuild. First time was a cleanse and the last two both times the team got better. Much better.


Exactly. People seem not to quite understand. The PLAN is to WIN. They aren't just gonna be patient with bad players. The entire point of Free Agency is to try and get better QUICKLY!!! Boston adds KG and Allen both at older ages.

Champion 2007-08 Celtics

Rk	Player	         Age ▾	G	GS	MP	
1 Paul Pierce 30 80 80 2874
2 Ray Allen 32 73 73 2624
3 Kevin Garnett 31 71 71 2328
4 Rajon Rondo 21 77 77 2306
5 Kendrick Perkins 23 78 78 1912
6 James Posey 31 74 2 1821
7 Eddie House 29 78 2 1480
8 Tony Allen 26 75 11 1373
9 Brian Scalabrine 29 48 9 512
10 Leon Powe 24 56 5 809
11 Glen Davis 22 69 1 940
12 Sam Cassell 38 17 1 299
13 P.J. Brown 38 18 0 209
14 Scot Pollard 32 22 0 173

This isn't some wild and unprecedented approach. Phil has himself had teams with a similar structure and age ratio MANY times in his career.

My only reservation is Rose. I fear if he plays good for us, he gets a max contract, the following year the team has potentially 3 injury prone big contracts on the roster for 3 to 4 years. It would set us back 3 years before we can hope to be respectable again.

nixluva @ 7/13/2016 12:44 PM
shinmen wrote:
nixluva wrote:
fishmike wrote:
franco12 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
franco12 wrote:
crzymdups wrote:
mreinman wrote:
fishmike wrote:mreinman, dk... who are the guys Phil should have targeted that would have improved your offseason grades?

for starters, don't make the rose trade. undo that and we are in B territory.

Rose begat Noah, Noah begat CLee.

Our off-season would be Brandon Jennings anddddd... what else?

If we got Jennings, kept Lopez and perhaps kept D Williams & maybe still added Courtney Lee - to me, that might have been the kind of incremental improvement we needed, get to 40 wins+/- and then add a late lottery/Mid 1st round pick to the mix for the following year, and then maybe be in play for Westbrook.

And then the play off drive starts then.

But, hey, we're just keyboard GMs.

So you think a 40 win roster is going to entice Westbrook? Cmon man... you are just not watching the NBA or paying attention.

However I have a simple retort, and I asked Bonn this in another thread and he ducked it. If you believe in incremental improvement I have a very simple question. Knicks win 41 games with this roster next year. Based on your expectation that is a successful correct?

I am probably naive to think before these moves we had a shot at Westbrook. I'd like to think if we had a solid foundation with parts that were in place playing a system, and improving- that and max dollars might be enough.

But I'm not a swing for the fences thinker, not with our franchise as it stands with the base of talent.

That is why to answer your question - if the Knicks win 41 games with this roster, no, I don't judge that successful. It needs to be better. Phil has gone all in (minus future draft picks, at this stage) and gambled in a big way, turning over the roster for what, the 5th or 6th time in the last 5/6 years?

He's signed Noah & Lee to big money. Melo, Noah & Lee together take up 55% of our cap. I just think that is unbalanced and creates issues down the line when these players at the wrong side of their athletic careers start to inevitably break down.

To me, with the moves Phil has made, he better win more than 41 games and they better make the play offs.

Based on the talent and resources we had, I felt we weren't anywhere close to being able to be in a win now position.

And worse, this franchise has been stuck in the dump because our owner has had a win now at any and all cost mentality.

Look, I like Phil and I like that he has pushed Dolan out of the picture. I just don't like I see what appears to be a repeat of past sins.

On paper, this squad looks improved. But we've thought and said that before.

Phil has gone all in by sacrificing what? Grant and Lopez and Calderon? Those are the player you are holding against Phil's "ALL IN?"

I am sorry man, but that doesn't hold any water to with at all. I mean you are literally saying if we traded Lopez, Grant and Jose well we better be good! As far as the roster turnover who are the guys you lament losing? We didn't add win now players. Willy is signed for 4 years (rookie). Kuz is signed for 2 years (26 year old 4x all star in EU). Jennings and Rose are rentals with an option to buy and Rose/Jennings/Lee/Holiday replaces Jose/Langston/Grant/Afflalo.

Sorry I need you to better explain what was sacrificed for this team to be excluded from your incremental is good plan.

You are right.. the roster has been flipped 3x. Its a rebuild. First time was a cleanse and the last two both times the team got better. Much better.


Exactly. People seem not to quite understand. The PLAN is to WIN. They aren't just gonna be patient with bad players. The entire point of Free Agency is to try and get better QUICKLY!!! Boston adds KG and Allen both at older ages.

Champion 2007-08 Celtics

Rk	Player	         Age ▾	G	GS	MP	
1 Paul Pierce 30 80 80 2874
2 Ray Allen 32 73 73 2624
3 Kevin Garnett 31 71 71 2328
4 Rajon Rondo 21 77 77 2306
5 Kendrick Perkins 23 78 78 1912
6 James Posey 31 74 2 1821
7 Eddie House 29 78 2 1480
8 Tony Allen 26 75 11 1373
9 Brian Scalabrine 29 48 9 512
10 Leon Powe 24 56 5 809
11 Glen Davis 22 69 1 940
12 Sam Cassell 38 17 1 299
13 P.J. Brown 38 18 0 209
14 Scot Pollard 32 22 0 173

This isn't some wild and unprecedented approach. Phil has himself had teams with a similar structure and age ratio MANY times in his career.

My only reservation is Rose. I fear if he plays good for us, he gets a max contract, the following year the team has potentially 3 injury prone big contracts on the roster for 3 to 4 years. It would set us back 3 years before we can hope to be respectable again.


It's entirely possible that Rose's luck could change and he has a nice stretch of years without another major injury. Gotta see how he looks. Like I said, he hasn't really had much WEAR and TEAR the last 4 years. You have to actually play games to get that. In a weird way his legs could be very fresh next year. Also I don't foresee Rose logging too heavy a workload in the regular season. The key is to get him to the post season strong and health. Horny has enough depth to keep Rose's minutes down.
franco12 @ 7/13/2016 1:25 PM
fishmike wrote:
franco12 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
franco12 wrote:
crzymdups wrote:
mreinman wrote:
fishmike wrote:mreinman, dk... who are the guys Phil should have targeted that would have improved your offseason grades?

for starters, don't make the rose trade. undo that and we are in B territory.

Rose begat Noah, Noah begat CLee.

Our off-season would be Brandon Jennings anddddd... what else?

If we got Jennings, kept Lopez and perhaps kept D Williams & maybe still added Courtney Lee - to me, that might have been the kind of incremental improvement we needed, get to 40 wins+/- and then add a late lottery/Mid 1st round pick to the mix for the following year, and then maybe be in play for Westbrook.

And then the play off drive starts then.

But, hey, we're just keyboard GMs.

So you think a 40 win roster is going to entice Westbrook? Cmon man... you are just not watching the NBA or paying attention.

However I have a simple retort, and I asked Bonn this in another thread and he ducked it. If you believe in incremental improvement I have a very simple question. Knicks win 41 games with this roster next year. Based on your expectation that is a successful correct?

I am probably naive to think before these moves we had a shot at Westbrook. I'd like to think if we had a solid foundation with parts that were in place playing a system, and improving- that and max dollars might be enough.

But I'm not a swing for the fences thinker, not with our franchise as it stands with the base of talent.

That is why to answer your question - if the Knicks win 41 games with this roster, no, I don't judge that successful. It needs to be better. Phil has gone all in (minus future draft picks, at this stage) and gambled in a big way, turning over the roster for what, the 5th or 6th time in the last 5/6 years?

He's signed Noah & Lee to big money. Melo, Noah & Lee together take up 55% of our cap. I just think that is unbalanced and creates issues down the line when these players at the wrong side of their athletic careers start to inevitably break down.

To me, with the moves Phil has made, he better win more than 41 games and they better make the play offs.

Based on the talent and resources we had, I felt we weren't anywhere close to being able to be in a win now position.

And worse, this franchise has been stuck in the dump because our owner has had a win now at any and all cost mentality.

Look, I like Phil and I like that he has pushed Dolan out of the picture. I just don't like I see what appears to be a repeat of past sins.

On paper, this squad looks improved. But we've thought and said that before.

Phil has gone all in by sacrificing what? Grant and Lopez and Calderon? Those are the player you are holding against Phil's "ALL IN?"

I am sorry man, but that doesn't hold any water to with at all. I mean you are literally saying if we traded Lopez, Grant and Jose well we better be good! As far as the roster turnover who are the guys you lament losing? We didn't add win now players. Willy is signed for 4 years (rookie). Kuz is signed for 2 years (26 year old 4x all star in EU). Jennings and Rose are rentals with an option to buy and Rose/Jennings/Lee/Holiday replaces Jose/Langston/Grant/Afflalo.

Sorry I need you to better explain what was sacrificed for this team to be excluded from your incremental is good plan.

You are right.. the roster has been flipped 3x. Its a rebuild. First time was a cleanse and the last two both times the team got better. Much better.

To me, Phil has committed by bringing Lee & Noah- between them and Melo, they take up 55%+/- of our cap this year and next year. Three players over the age of 30. I get that Lee and Noah will contribute beyond their numbers.

Also, it is a gamble to hope that both Rose and Noah are going to be healthy this year, and that Noah will be healthy for the three years after that.

I also worry about what we do with Rose if he plays well. We have a history of signing our own FA to big deals (See Melo, Houston, et al).

With Lee & Noah, we traded not future picks, but future space under the cap.

If I were the owner, I would not have approved Noah's deal. Maybe yes for shorter term.

Look, this team hasn't restocked itself with draft assets since when? When was the last time we had both our own picks in both the first and second round?

I feel like our cupboard was bare and we weren't in a position to make some of the moves we did.

Now, with some of the youth/talent Phil has brought in, I am feeling much better in this regard.

mreinman @ 7/13/2016 1:25 PM
nixluva wrote:
shinmen wrote:
nixluva wrote:
fishmike wrote:
franco12 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
franco12 wrote:
crzymdups wrote:
mreinman wrote:
fishmike wrote:mreinman, dk... who are the guys Phil should have targeted that would have improved your offseason grades?

for starters, don't make the rose trade. undo that and we are in B territory.

Rose begat Noah, Noah begat CLee.

Our off-season would be Brandon Jennings anddddd... what else?

If we got Jennings, kept Lopez and perhaps kept D Williams & maybe still added Courtney Lee - to me, that might have been the kind of incremental improvement we needed, get to 40 wins+/- and then add a late lottery/Mid 1st round pick to the mix for the following year, and then maybe be in play for Westbrook.

And then the play off drive starts then.

But, hey, we're just keyboard GMs.

So you think a 40 win roster is going to entice Westbrook? Cmon man... you are just not watching the NBA or paying attention.

However I have a simple retort, and I asked Bonn this in another thread and he ducked it. If you believe in incremental improvement I have a very simple question. Knicks win 41 games with this roster next year. Based on your expectation that is a successful correct?

I am probably naive to think before these moves we had a shot at Westbrook. I'd like to think if we had a solid foundation with parts that were in place playing a system, and improving- that and max dollars might be enough.

But I'm not a swing for the fences thinker, not with our franchise as it stands with the base of talent.

That is why to answer your question - if the Knicks win 41 games with this roster, no, I don't judge that successful. It needs to be better. Phil has gone all in (minus future draft picks, at this stage) and gambled in a big way, turning over the roster for what, the 5th or 6th time in the last 5/6 years?

He's signed Noah & Lee to big money. Melo, Noah & Lee together take up 55% of our cap. I just think that is unbalanced and creates issues down the line when these players at the wrong side of their athletic careers start to inevitably break down.

To me, with the moves Phil has made, he better win more than 41 games and they better make the play offs.

Based on the talent and resources we had, I felt we weren't anywhere close to being able to be in a win now position.

And worse, this franchise has been stuck in the dump because our owner has had a win now at any and all cost mentality.

Look, I like Phil and I like that he has pushed Dolan out of the picture. I just don't like I see what appears to be a repeat of past sins.

On paper, this squad looks improved. But we've thought and said that before.

Phil has gone all in by sacrificing what? Grant and Lopez and Calderon? Those are the player you are holding against Phil's "ALL IN?"

I am sorry man, but that doesn't hold any water to with at all. I mean you are literally saying if we traded Lopez, Grant and Jose well we better be good! As far as the roster turnover who are the guys you lament losing? We didn't add win now players. Willy is signed for 4 years (rookie). Kuz is signed for 2 years (26 year old 4x all star in EU). Jennings and Rose are rentals with an option to buy and Rose/Jennings/Lee/Holiday replaces Jose/Langston/Grant/Afflalo.

Sorry I need you to better explain what was sacrificed for this team to be excluded from your incremental is good plan.

You are right.. the roster has been flipped 3x. Its a rebuild. First time was a cleanse and the last two both times the team got better. Much better.


Exactly. People seem not to quite understand. The PLAN is to WIN. They aren't just gonna be patient with bad players. The entire point of Free Agency is to try and get better QUICKLY!!! Boston adds KG and Allen both at older ages.

Champion 2007-08 Celtics

Rk	Player	         Age ▾	G	GS	MP	
1 Paul Pierce 30 80 80 2874
2 Ray Allen 32 73 73 2624
3 Kevin Garnett 31 71 71 2328
4 Rajon Rondo 21 77 77 2306
5 Kendrick Perkins 23 78 78 1912
6 James Posey 31 74 2 1821
7 Eddie House 29 78 2 1480
8 Tony Allen 26 75 11 1373
9 Brian Scalabrine 29 48 9 512
10 Leon Powe 24 56 5 809
11 Glen Davis 22 69 1 940
12 Sam Cassell 38 17 1 299
13 P.J. Brown 38 18 0 209
14 Scot Pollard 32 22 0 173

This isn't some wild and unprecedented approach. Phil has himself had teams with a similar structure and age ratio MANY times in his career.

My only reservation is Rose. I fear if he plays good for us, he gets a max contract, the following year the team has potentially 3 injury prone big contracts on the roster for 3 to 4 years. It would set us back 3 years before we can hope to be respectable again.


It's entirely possible that Rose's luck could change and he has a nice stretch of years without another major injury. Gotta see how he looks. Like I said, he hasn't really had much WEAR and TEAR the last 4 years. You have to actually play games to get that. In a weird way his legs could be very fresh next year. Also I don't foresee Rose logging too heavy a workload in the regular season. The key is to get him to the post season strong and health. Horny has enough depth to keep Rose's minutes down.

yes. It is entirely possible, however its improbable (as bonn has tried to explain).

fishmike @ 7/13/2016 1:47 PM
franco12 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
franco12 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
franco12 wrote:
crzymdups wrote:
mreinman wrote:
fishmike wrote:mreinman, dk... who are the guys Phil should have targeted that would have improved your offseason grades?

for starters, don't make the rose trade. undo that and we are in B territory.

Rose begat Noah, Noah begat CLee.

Our off-season would be Brandon Jennings anddddd... what else?

If we got Jennings, kept Lopez and perhaps kept D Williams & maybe still added Courtney Lee - to me, that might have been the kind of incremental improvement we needed, get to 40 wins+/- and then add a late lottery/Mid 1st round pick to the mix for the following year, and then maybe be in play for Westbrook.

And then the play off drive starts then.

But, hey, we're just keyboard GMs.

So you think a 40 win roster is going to entice Westbrook? Cmon man... you are just not watching the NBA or paying attention.

However I have a simple retort, and I asked Bonn this in another thread and he ducked it. If you believe in incremental improvement I have a very simple question. Knicks win 41 games with this roster next year. Based on your expectation that is a successful correct?

I am probably naive to think before these moves we had a shot at Westbrook. I'd like to think if we had a solid foundation with parts that were in place playing a system, and improving- that and max dollars might be enough.

But I'm not a swing for the fences thinker, not with our franchise as it stands with the base of talent.

That is why to answer your question - if the Knicks win 41 games with this roster, no, I don't judge that successful. It needs to be better. Phil has gone all in (minus future draft picks, at this stage) and gambled in a big way, turning over the roster for what, the 5th or 6th time in the last 5/6 years?

He's signed Noah & Lee to big money. Melo, Noah & Lee together take up 55% of our cap. I just think that is unbalanced and creates issues down the line when these players at the wrong side of their athletic careers start to inevitably break down.

To me, with the moves Phil has made, he better win more than 41 games and they better make the play offs.

Based on the talent and resources we had, I felt we weren't anywhere close to being able to be in a win now position.

And worse, this franchise has been stuck in the dump because our owner has had a win now at any and all cost mentality.

Look, I like Phil and I like that he has pushed Dolan out of the picture. I just don't like I see what appears to be a repeat of past sins.

On paper, this squad looks improved. But we've thought and said that before.

Phil has gone all in by sacrificing what? Grant and Lopez and Calderon? Those are the player you are holding against Phil's "ALL IN?"

I am sorry man, but that doesn't hold any water to with at all. I mean you are literally saying if we traded Lopez, Grant and Jose well we better be good! As far as the roster turnover who are the guys you lament losing? We didn't add win now players. Willy is signed for 4 years (rookie). Kuz is signed for 2 years (26 year old 4x all star in EU). Jennings and Rose are rentals with an option to buy and Rose/Jennings/Lee/Holiday replaces Jose/Langston/Grant/Afflalo.

Sorry I need you to better explain what was sacrificed for this team to be excluded from your incremental is good plan.

You are right.. the roster has been flipped 3x. Its a rebuild. First time was a cleanse and the last two both times the team got better. Much better.

To me, Phil has committed by bringing Lee & Noah- between them and Melo, they take up 55%+/- of our cap this year and next year. Three players over the age of 30. I get that Lee and Noah will contribute beyond their numbers.

Also, it is a gamble to hope that both Rose and Noah are going to be healthy this year, and that Noah will be healthy for the three years after that.

I also worry about what we do with Rose if he plays well. We have a history of signing our own FA to big deals (See Melo, Houston, et al).

With Lee & Noah, we traded not future picks, but future space under the cap.

If I were the owner, I would not have approved Noah's deal. Maybe yes for shorter term.

Look, this team hasn't restocked itself with draft assets since when? When was the last time we had both our own picks in both the first and second round?

I feel like our cupboard was bare and we weren't in a position to make some of the moves we did.

Now, with some of the youth/talent Phil has brought in, I am feeling much better in this regard.

So would you are saying that it isn't a win now team? That its a team with balance that is set up for both the future and the ability to compete today? Im trying to understand your disappointment. Are you good with the offseason now? And as for your complaints about Noah/Lee taking up a chunk of the cap... did you see the deals being given out? I just cant get my head around this FA crop and the thinking that the Knicks didn't crush it. Noah was a risk, not really offset by the getting Lee at a discount. However Noah brings huge intangibles as well, which is critical with the young guys behind him, Willy, KP, NDour, Plumlee...

The argument is it hampers your space to sign a marquee guy, but haven't we established those guys don't come without other stars in the first place?

I find this notion of fear of resigning Rose totally backward thinking. Before the Amare/Melo season we had what? 10 losing seasons? We had nobody on the team. Worrying about keeping risky talent is better than having no talent to manage at all. How soon we forget!

nixluva @ 7/13/2016 1:48 PM
mreinman wrote:
nixluva wrote:
shinmen wrote:
nixluva wrote:
fishmike wrote:
franco12 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
franco12 wrote:
crzymdups wrote:
mreinman wrote:
fishmike wrote:mreinman, dk... who are the guys Phil should have targeted that would have improved your offseason grades?

for starters, don't make the rose trade. undo that and we are in B territory.

Rose begat Noah, Noah begat CLee.

Our off-season would be Brandon Jennings anddddd... what else?

If we got Jennings, kept Lopez and perhaps kept D Williams & maybe still added Courtney Lee - to me, that might have been the kind of incremental improvement we needed, get to 40 wins+/- and then add a late lottery/Mid 1st round pick to the mix for the following year, and then maybe be in play for Westbrook.

And then the play off drive starts then.

But, hey, we're just keyboard GMs.

So you think a 40 win roster is going to entice Westbrook? Cmon man... you are just not watching the NBA or paying attention.

However I have a simple retort, and I asked Bonn this in another thread and he ducked it. If you believe in incremental improvement I have a very simple question. Knicks win 41 games with this roster next year. Based on your expectation that is a successful correct?

I am probably naive to think before these moves we had a shot at Westbrook. I'd like to think if we had a solid foundation with parts that were in place playing a system, and improving- that and max dollars might be enough.

But I'm not a swing for the fences thinker, not with our franchise as it stands with the base of talent.

That is why to answer your question - if the Knicks win 41 games with this roster, no, I don't judge that successful. It needs to be better. Phil has gone all in (minus future draft picks, at this stage) and gambled in a big way, turning over the roster for what, the 5th or 6th time in the last 5/6 years?

He's signed Noah & Lee to big money. Melo, Noah & Lee together take up 55% of our cap. I just think that is unbalanced and creates issues down the line when these players at the wrong side of their athletic careers start to inevitably break down.

To me, with the moves Phil has made, he better win more than 41 games and they better make the play offs.

Based on the talent and resources we had, I felt we weren't anywhere close to being able to be in a win now position.

And worse, this franchise has been stuck in the dump because our owner has had a win now at any and all cost mentality.

Look, I like Phil and I like that he has pushed Dolan out of the picture. I just don't like I see what appears to be a repeat of past sins.

On paper, this squad looks improved. But we've thought and said that before.

Phil has gone all in by sacrificing what? Grant and Lopez and Calderon? Those are the player you are holding against Phil's "ALL IN?"

I am sorry man, but that doesn't hold any water to with at all. I mean you are literally saying if we traded Lopez, Grant and Jose well we better be good! As far as the roster turnover who are the guys you lament losing? We didn't add win now players. Willy is signed for 4 years (rookie). Kuz is signed for 2 years (26 year old 4x all star in EU). Jennings and Rose are rentals with an option to buy and Rose/Jennings/Lee/Holiday replaces Jose/Langston/Grant/Afflalo.

Sorry I need you to better explain what was sacrificed for this team to be excluded from your incremental is good plan.

You are right.. the roster has been flipped 3x. Its a rebuild. First time was a cleanse and the last two both times the team got better. Much better.


Exactly. People seem not to quite understand. The PLAN is to WIN. They aren't just gonna be patient with bad players. The entire point of Free Agency is to try and get better QUICKLY!!! Boston adds KG and Allen both at older ages.

Champion 2007-08 Celtics

Rk	Player	         Age ▾	G	GS	MP	
1 Paul Pierce 30 80 80 2874
2 Ray Allen 32 73 73 2624
3 Kevin Garnett 31 71 71 2328
4 Rajon Rondo 21 77 77 2306
5 Kendrick Perkins 23 78 78 1912
6 James Posey 31 74 2 1821
7 Eddie House 29 78 2 1480
8 Tony Allen 26 75 11 1373
9 Brian Scalabrine 29 48 9 512
10 Leon Powe 24 56 5 809
11 Glen Davis 22 69 1 940
12 Sam Cassell 38 17 1 299
13 P.J. Brown 38 18 0 209
14 Scot Pollard 32 22 0 173

This isn't some wild and unprecedented approach. Phil has himself had teams with a similar structure and age ratio MANY times in his career.

My only reservation is Rose. I fear if he plays good for us, he gets a max contract, the following year the team has potentially 3 injury prone big contracts on the roster for 3 to 4 years. It would set us back 3 years before we can hope to be respectable again.


It's entirely possible that Rose's luck could change and he has a nice stretch of years without another major injury. Gotta see how he looks. Like I said, he hasn't really had much WEAR and TEAR the last 4 years. You have to actually play games to get that. In a weird way his legs could be very fresh next year. Also I don't foresee Rose logging too heavy a workload in the regular season. The key is to get him to the post season strong and health. Horny has enough depth to keep Rose's minutes down.

yes. It is entirely possible, however its improbable (as bonn has tried to explain).


We're talking about 2 different things. I think it's highly probable that Rose will have a better season in terms of his shooting efficiency next year. As for his being able to stay healthy that is another issue. As long as we're only talking about minor bumps and bruises then that's OK. We just don't want another major issue requiring surgery and significant time missed. Rose had the face surgery but not another knee surgery so that's good news. Anyone can get smashed in the face and break a bone. That has nothing to do with his knees.
NYKBocker @ 7/13/2016 1:49 PM
NYKBocker wrote:A+ We going for 50+ wins all the way to the ECF

With the recent N'Dour signing, I am changing my grade to A++. 54+ wins all the way to the ECF.

mreinman @ 7/13/2016 1:52 PM
nixluva wrote:
mreinman wrote:
nixluva wrote:
shinmen wrote:
nixluva wrote:
fishmike wrote:
franco12 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
franco12 wrote:
crzymdups wrote:
mreinman wrote:
fishmike wrote:mreinman, dk... who are the guys Phil should have targeted that would have improved your offseason grades?

for starters, don't make the rose trade. undo that and we are in B territory.

Rose begat Noah, Noah begat CLee.

Our off-season would be Brandon Jennings anddddd... what else?

If we got Jennings, kept Lopez and perhaps kept D Williams & maybe still added Courtney Lee - to me, that might have been the kind of incremental improvement we needed, get to 40 wins+/- and then add a late lottery/Mid 1st round pick to the mix for the following year, and then maybe be in play for Westbrook.

And then the play off drive starts then.

But, hey, we're just keyboard GMs.

So you think a 40 win roster is going to entice Westbrook? Cmon man... you are just not watching the NBA or paying attention.

However I have a simple retort, and I asked Bonn this in another thread and he ducked it. If you believe in incremental improvement I have a very simple question. Knicks win 41 games with this roster next year. Based on your expectation that is a successful correct?

I am probably naive to think before these moves we had a shot at Westbrook. I'd like to think if we had a solid foundation with parts that were in place playing a system, and improving- that and max dollars might be enough.

But I'm not a swing for the fences thinker, not with our franchise as it stands with the base of talent.

That is why to answer your question - if the Knicks win 41 games with this roster, no, I don't judge that successful. It needs to be better. Phil has gone all in (minus future draft picks, at this stage) and gambled in a big way, turning over the roster for what, the 5th or 6th time in the last 5/6 years?

He's signed Noah & Lee to big money. Melo, Noah & Lee together take up 55% of our cap. I just think that is unbalanced and creates issues down the line when these players at the wrong side of their athletic careers start to inevitably break down.

To me, with the moves Phil has made, he better win more than 41 games and they better make the play offs.

Based on the talent and resources we had, I felt we weren't anywhere close to being able to be in a win now position.

And worse, this franchise has been stuck in the dump because our owner has had a win now at any and all cost mentality.

Look, I like Phil and I like that he has pushed Dolan out of the picture. I just don't like I see what appears to be a repeat of past sins.

On paper, this squad looks improved. But we've thought and said that before.

Phil has gone all in by sacrificing what? Grant and Lopez and Calderon? Those are the player you are holding against Phil's "ALL IN?"

I am sorry man, but that doesn't hold any water to with at all. I mean you are literally saying if we traded Lopez, Grant and Jose well we better be good! As far as the roster turnover who are the guys you lament losing? We didn't add win now players. Willy is signed for 4 years (rookie). Kuz is signed for 2 years (26 year old 4x all star in EU). Jennings and Rose are rentals with an option to buy and Rose/Jennings/Lee/Holiday replaces Jose/Langston/Grant/Afflalo.

Sorry I need you to better explain what was sacrificed for this team to be excluded from your incremental is good plan.

You are right.. the roster has been flipped 3x. Its a rebuild. First time was a cleanse and the last two both times the team got better. Much better.


Exactly. People seem not to quite understand. The PLAN is to WIN. They aren't just gonna be patient with bad players. The entire point of Free Agency is to try and get better QUICKLY!!! Boston adds KG and Allen both at older ages.

Champion 2007-08 Celtics

Rk	Player	         Age ▾	G	GS	MP	
1 Paul Pierce 30 80 80 2874
2 Ray Allen 32 73 73 2624
3 Kevin Garnett 31 71 71 2328
4 Rajon Rondo 21 77 77 2306
5 Kendrick Perkins 23 78 78 1912
6 James Posey 31 74 2 1821
7 Eddie House 29 78 2 1480
8 Tony Allen 26 75 11 1373
9 Brian Scalabrine 29 48 9 512
10 Leon Powe 24 56 5 809
11 Glen Davis 22 69 1 940
12 Sam Cassell 38 17 1 299
13 P.J. Brown 38 18 0 209
14 Scot Pollard 32 22 0 173

This isn't some wild and unprecedented approach. Phil has himself had teams with a similar structure and age ratio MANY times in his career.

My only reservation is Rose. I fear if he plays good for us, he gets a max contract, the following year the team has potentially 3 injury prone big contracts on the roster for 3 to 4 years. It would set us back 3 years before we can hope to be respectable again.


It's entirely possible that Rose's luck could change and he has a nice stretch of years without another major injury. Gotta see how he looks. Like I said, he hasn't really had much WEAR and TEAR the last 4 years. You have to actually play games to get that. In a weird way his legs could be very fresh next year. Also I don't foresee Rose logging too heavy a workload in the regular season. The key is to get him to the post season strong and health. Horny has enough depth to keep Rose's minutes down.

yes. It is entirely possible, however its improbable (as bonn has tried to explain).


We're talking about 2 different things. I think it's highly probable that Rose will have a better season in terms of his shooting efficiency next year. As for his being able to stay healthy that is another issue. As long as we're only talking about minor bumps and bruises then that's OK. We just don't want another major issue requiring surgery and significant time missed. Rose had the face surgery but not another knee surgery so that's good news. Anyone can get smashed in the face and break a bone. That has nothing to do with his knees.

you still danced around this.

Its highly improbably that Rose will return to being a good player.

Is it probable that he will shoot more efficiently next year? Its almost impossible not to ... its like saying that it was probable that the knicks would have a better year last year vs. the (tank) year before.

nixluva @ 7/13/2016 1:58 PM
fishmike wrote:
franco12 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
franco12 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
franco12 wrote:
crzymdups wrote:
mreinman wrote:
fishmike wrote:mreinman, dk... who are the guys Phil should have targeted that would have improved your offseason grades?

for starters, don't make the rose trade. undo that and we are in B territory.

Rose begat Noah, Noah begat CLee.

Our off-season would be Brandon Jennings anddddd... what else?

If we got Jennings, kept Lopez and perhaps kept D Williams & maybe still added Courtney Lee - to me, that might have been the kind of incremental improvement we needed, get to 40 wins+/- and then add a late lottery/Mid 1st round pick to the mix for the following year, and then maybe be in play for Westbrook.

And then the play off drive starts then.

But, hey, we're just keyboard GMs.

So you think a 40 win roster is going to entice Westbrook? Cmon man... you are just not watching the NBA or paying attention.

However I have a simple retort, and I asked Bonn this in another thread and he ducked it. If you believe in incremental improvement I have a very simple question. Knicks win 41 games with this roster next year. Based on your expectation that is a successful correct?

I am probably naive to think before these moves we had a shot at Westbrook. I'd like to think if we had a solid foundation with parts that were in place playing a system, and improving- that and max dollars might be enough.

But I'm not a swing for the fences thinker, not with our franchise as it stands with the base of talent.

That is why to answer your question - if the Knicks win 41 games with this roster, no, I don't judge that successful. It needs to be better. Phil has gone all in (minus future draft picks, at this stage) and gambled in a big way, turning over the roster for what, the 5th or 6th time in the last 5/6 years?

He's signed Noah & Lee to big money. Melo, Noah & Lee together take up 55% of our cap. I just think that is unbalanced and creates issues down the line when these players at the wrong side of their athletic careers start to inevitably break down.

To me, with the moves Phil has made, he better win more than 41 games and they better make the play offs.

Based on the talent and resources we had, I felt we weren't anywhere close to being able to be in a win now position.

And worse, this franchise has been stuck in the dump because our owner has had a win now at any and all cost mentality.

Look, I like Phil and I like that he has pushed Dolan out of the picture. I just don't like I see what appears to be a repeat of past sins.

On paper, this squad looks improved. But we've thought and said that before.

Phil has gone all in by sacrificing what? Grant and Lopez and Calderon? Those are the player you are holding against Phil's "ALL IN?"

I am sorry man, but that doesn't hold any water to with at all. I mean you are literally saying if we traded Lopez, Grant and Jose well we better be good! As far as the roster turnover who are the guys you lament losing? We didn't add win now players. Willy is signed for 4 years (rookie). Kuz is signed for 2 years (26 year old 4x all star in EU). Jennings and Rose are rentals with an option to buy and Rose/Jennings/Lee/Holiday replaces Jose/Langston/Grant/Afflalo.

Sorry I need you to better explain what was sacrificed for this team to be excluded from your incremental is good plan.

You are right.. the roster has been flipped 3x. Its a rebuild. First time was a cleanse and the last two both times the team got better. Much better.

To me, Phil has committed by bringing Lee & Noah- between them and Melo, they take up 55%+/- of our cap this year and next year. Three players over the age of 30. I get that Lee and Noah will contribute beyond their numbers.

Also, it is a gamble to hope that both Rose and Noah are going to be healthy this year, and that Noah will be healthy for the three years after that.

I also worry about what we do with Rose if he plays well. We have a history of signing our own FA to big deals (See Melo, Houston, et al).

With Lee & Noah, we traded not future picks, but future space under the cap.

If I were the owner, I would not have approved Noah's deal. Maybe yes for shorter term.

Look, this team hasn't restocked itself with draft assets since when? When was the last time we had both our own picks in both the first and second round?

I feel like our cupboard was bare and we weren't in a position to make some of the moves we did.

Now, with some of the youth/talent Phil has brought in, I am feeling much better in this regard.

So would you are saying that it isn't a win now team? That its a team with balance that is set up for both the future and the ability to compete today? Im trying to understand your disappointment. Are you good with the offseason now? And as for your complaints about Noah/Lee taking up a chunk of the cap... did you see the deals being given out? I just cant get my head around this FA crop and the thinking that the Knicks didn't crush it. Noah was a risk, not really offset by the getting Lee at a discount. However Noah brings huge intangibles as well, which is critical with the young guys behind him, Willy, KP, NDour, Plumlee...

The argument is it hampers your space to sign a marquee guy, but haven't we established those guys don't come without other stars in the first place?

I find this notion of fear of resigning Rose totally backward thinking. Before the Amare/Melo season we had what? 10 losing seasons? We had nobody on the team. Worrying about keeping risky talent is better than having no talent to manage at all. How soon we forget!

IMO there's very little to complain about. This roster should be highly competitive, versatile and there are some young players. You don't have to have a team full of 20 yr olds in order to have a future. Those young teams don't win anyway!!! No one should have to log heavy minutes which is great for the guys with issues. Most injury is the result of fatigue and if you can get your players adequate rest then you can reduce most injury except for freak things. That's all you can hope for.

Phil and his team have done a very good job with this roster so far IMO. Great players rarely change teams and when they do it's for a winning situation. Under those circumstances Phil did the best he could to improve the team.

nixluva @ 7/13/2016 2:06 PM
mreinman wrote:
nixluva wrote:
mreinman wrote:
nixluva wrote:
shinmen wrote:
nixluva wrote:
fishmike wrote:
franco12 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
franco12 wrote:
crzymdups wrote:
mreinman wrote:
fishmike wrote:mreinman, dk... who are the guys Phil should have targeted that would have improved your offseason grades?

for starters, don't make the rose trade. undo that and we are in B territory.

Rose begat Noah, Noah begat CLee.

Our off-season would be Brandon Jennings anddddd... what else?

If we got Jennings, kept Lopez and perhaps kept D Williams & maybe still added Courtney Lee - to me, that might have been the kind of incremental improvement we needed, get to 40 wins+/- and then add a late lottery/Mid 1st round pick to the mix for the following year, and then maybe be in play for Westbrook.

And then the play off drive starts then.

But, hey, we're just keyboard GMs.

So you think a 40 win roster is going to entice Westbrook? Cmon man... you are just not watching the NBA or paying attention.

However I have a simple retort, and I asked Bonn this in another thread and he ducked it. If you believe in incremental improvement I have a very simple question. Knicks win 41 games with this roster next year. Based on your expectation that is a successful correct?

I am probably naive to think before these moves we had a shot at Westbrook. I'd like to think if we had a solid foundation with parts that were in place playing a system, and improving- that and max dollars might be enough.

But I'm not a swing for the fences thinker, not with our franchise as it stands with the base of talent.

That is why to answer your question - if the Knicks win 41 games with this roster, no, I don't judge that successful. It needs to be better. Phil has gone all in (minus future draft picks, at this stage) and gambled in a big way, turning over the roster for what, the 5th or 6th time in the last 5/6 years?

He's signed Noah & Lee to big money. Melo, Noah & Lee together take up 55% of our cap. I just think that is unbalanced and creates issues down the line when these players at the wrong side of their athletic careers start to inevitably break down.

To me, with the moves Phil has made, he better win more than 41 games and they better make the play offs.

Based on the talent and resources we had, I felt we weren't anywhere close to being able to be in a win now position.

And worse, this franchise has been stuck in the dump because our owner has had a win now at any and all cost mentality.

Look, I like Phil and I like that he has pushed Dolan out of the picture. I just don't like I see what appears to be a repeat of past sins.

On paper, this squad looks improved. But we've thought and said that before.

Phil has gone all in by sacrificing what? Grant and Lopez and Calderon? Those are the player you are holding against Phil's "ALL IN?"

I am sorry man, but that doesn't hold any water to with at all. I mean you are literally saying if we traded Lopez, Grant and Jose well we better be good! As far as the roster turnover who are the guys you lament losing? We didn't add win now players. Willy is signed for 4 years (rookie). Kuz is signed for 2 years (26 year old 4x all star in EU). Jennings and Rose are rentals with an option to buy and Rose/Jennings/Lee/Holiday replaces Jose/Langston/Grant/Afflalo.

Sorry I need you to better explain what was sacrificed for this team to be excluded from your incremental is good plan.

You are right.. the roster has been flipped 3x. Its a rebuild. First time was a cleanse and the last two both times the team got better. Much better.


Exactly. People seem not to quite understand. The PLAN is to WIN. They aren't just gonna be patient with bad players. The entire point of Free Agency is to try and get better QUICKLY!!! Boston adds KG and Allen both at older ages.

Champion 2007-08 Celtics

Rk	Player	         Age ▾	G	GS	MP	
1 Paul Pierce 30 80 80 2874
2 Ray Allen 32 73 73 2624
3 Kevin Garnett 31 71 71 2328
4 Rajon Rondo 21 77 77 2306
5 Kendrick Perkins 23 78 78 1912
6 James Posey 31 74 2 1821
7 Eddie House 29 78 2 1480
8 Tony Allen 26 75 11 1373
9 Brian Scalabrine 29 48 9 512
10 Leon Powe 24 56 5 809
11 Glen Davis 22 69 1 940
12 Sam Cassell 38 17 1 299
13 P.J. Brown 38 18 0 209
14 Scot Pollard 32 22 0 173

This isn't some wild and unprecedented approach. Phil has himself had teams with a similar structure and age ratio MANY times in his career.

My only reservation is Rose. I fear if he plays good for us, he gets a max contract, the following year the team has potentially 3 injury prone big contracts on the roster for 3 to 4 years. It would set us back 3 years before we can hope to be respectable again.


It's entirely possible that Rose's luck could change and he has a nice stretch of years without another major injury. Gotta see how he looks. Like I said, he hasn't really had much WEAR and TEAR the last 4 years. You have to actually play games to get that. In a weird way his legs could be very fresh next year. Also I don't foresee Rose logging too heavy a workload in the regular season. The key is to get him to the post season strong and health. Horny has enough depth to keep Rose's minutes down.

yes. It is entirely possible, however its improbable (as bonn has tried to explain).


We're talking about 2 different things. I think it's highly probable that Rose will have a better season in terms of his shooting efficiency next year. As for his being able to stay healthy that is another issue. As long as we're only talking about minor bumps and bruises then that's OK. We just don't want another major issue requiring surgery and significant time missed. Rose had the face surgery but not another knee surgery so that's good news. Anyone can get smashed in the face and break a bone. That has nothing to do with his knees.

you still danced around this.

Its highly improbably that Rose will return to being a good player.

Is it probable that he will shoot more efficiently next year? Its almost impossible not to ... its like saying that it was probable that the knicks would have a better year last year vs. the (tank) year before.


No dancing at all. It is not highly improbable that Rose will return to being a good player. Rose is in a prime position to improve. He's highly motivated to work and get better. Rose will have a full offseason to work on his conditioning and skills, unlike the last few years. You can poo poo this fact but it doesn't change the reality that he's getting a chance to more fully prepare than he's had coming off surgeries. This is a better team than he's had and Rose will have support to take some of the load off of him. He did show improvement during the season and I suspect he'll be much better after a full offseason.

Can he stay healthy enough to play well and make it to the postseason? That is obviously the big question and separate from his ability to improve over the summer.

Bonn1997 @ 7/13/2016 2:10 PM
nixluva wrote:
mreinman wrote:
nixluva wrote:
shinmen wrote:
nixluva wrote:
fishmike wrote:
franco12 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
franco12 wrote:
crzymdups wrote:
mreinman wrote:
fishmike wrote:mreinman, dk... who are the guys Phil should have targeted that would have improved your offseason grades?

for starters, don't make the rose trade. undo that and we are in B territory.

Rose begat Noah, Noah begat CLee.

Our off-season would be Brandon Jennings anddddd... what else?

If we got Jennings, kept Lopez and perhaps kept D Williams & maybe still added Courtney Lee - to me, that might have been the kind of incremental improvement we needed, get to 40 wins+/- and then add a late lottery/Mid 1st round pick to the mix for the following year, and then maybe be in play for Westbrook.

And then the play off drive starts then.

But, hey, we're just keyboard GMs.

So you think a 40 win roster is going to entice Westbrook? Cmon man... you are just not watching the NBA or paying attention.

However I have a simple retort, and I asked Bonn this in another thread and he ducked it. If you believe in incremental improvement I have a very simple question. Knicks win 41 games with this roster next year. Based on your expectation that is a successful correct?

I am probably naive to think before these moves we had a shot at Westbrook. I'd like to think if we had a solid foundation with parts that were in place playing a system, and improving- that and max dollars might be enough.

But I'm not a swing for the fences thinker, not with our franchise as it stands with the base of talent.

That is why to answer your question - if the Knicks win 41 games with this roster, no, I don't judge that successful. It needs to be better. Phil has gone all in (minus future draft picks, at this stage) and gambled in a big way, turning over the roster for what, the 5th or 6th time in the last 5/6 years?

He's signed Noah & Lee to big money. Melo, Noah & Lee together take up 55% of our cap. I just think that is unbalanced and creates issues down the line when these players at the wrong side of their athletic careers start to inevitably break down.

To me, with the moves Phil has made, he better win more than 41 games and they better make the play offs.

Based on the talent and resources we had, I felt we weren't anywhere close to being able to be in a win now position.

And worse, this franchise has been stuck in the dump because our owner has had a win now at any and all cost mentality.

Look, I like Phil and I like that he has pushed Dolan out of the picture. I just don't like I see what appears to be a repeat of past sins.

On paper, this squad looks improved. But we've thought and said that before.

Phil has gone all in by sacrificing what? Grant and Lopez and Calderon? Those are the player you are holding against Phil's "ALL IN?"

I am sorry man, but that doesn't hold any water to with at all. I mean you are literally saying if we traded Lopez, Grant and Jose well we better be good! As far as the roster turnover who are the guys you lament losing? We didn't add win now players. Willy is signed for 4 years (rookie). Kuz is signed for 2 years (26 year old 4x all star in EU). Jennings and Rose are rentals with an option to buy and Rose/Jennings/Lee/Holiday replaces Jose/Langston/Grant/Afflalo.

Sorry I need you to better explain what was sacrificed for this team to be excluded from your incremental is good plan.

You are right.. the roster has been flipped 3x. Its a rebuild. First time was a cleanse and the last two both times the team got better. Much better.


Exactly. People seem not to quite understand. The PLAN is to WIN. They aren't just gonna be patient with bad players. The entire point of Free Agency is to try and get better QUICKLY!!! Boston adds KG and Allen both at older ages.

Champion 2007-08 Celtics

Rk	Player	         Age ▾	G	GS	MP	
1 Paul Pierce 30 80 80 2874
2 Ray Allen 32 73 73 2624
3 Kevin Garnett 31 71 71 2328
4 Rajon Rondo 21 77 77 2306
5 Kendrick Perkins 23 78 78 1912
6 James Posey 31 74 2 1821
7 Eddie House 29 78 2 1480
8 Tony Allen 26 75 11 1373
9 Brian Scalabrine 29 48 9 512
10 Leon Powe 24 56 5 809
11 Glen Davis 22 69 1 940
12 Sam Cassell 38 17 1 299
13 P.J. Brown 38 18 0 209
14 Scot Pollard 32 22 0 173

This isn't some wild and unprecedented approach. Phil has himself had teams with a similar structure and age ratio MANY times in his career.

My only reservation is Rose. I fear if he plays good for us, he gets a max contract, the following year the team has potentially 3 injury prone big contracts on the roster for 3 to 4 years. It would set us back 3 years before we can hope to be respectable again.


It's entirely possible that Rose's luck could change and he has a nice stretch of years without another major injury. Gotta see how he looks. Like I said, he hasn't really had much WEAR and TEAR the last 4 years. You have to actually play games to get that. In a weird way his legs could be very fresh next year. Also I don't foresee Rose logging too heavy a workload in the regular season. The key is to get him to the post season strong and health. Horny has enough depth to keep Rose's minutes down.

yes. It is entirely possible, however its improbable (as bonn has tried to explain).


We're talking about 2 different things. I think it's highly probable that Rose will have a better season in terms of his shooting efficiency next year. As for his being able to stay healthy that is another issue. As long as we're only talking about minor bumps and bruises then that's OK. We just don't want another major issue requiring surgery and significant time missed. Rose had the face surgery but not another knee surgery so that's good news. Anyone can get smashed in the face and break a bone. That has nothing to do with his knees.

Is it highly probable that he'll do better next year than he did during his best stretch of last year (those few months you highlighted where his TS% was .515)? We need better than that. If he's just going to be a high volume .515 TS player, I'd rather have kept Rolo and used the Noah money elsewhere. And if he's going to be worse than .515... I don't even want to think about that.
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