Ok it's time. The Knicks have enough talent on paper to coast into the playoffs.
Make your predictions.
Win total (no more than 5 game range, 30-35 ok, 30-36 not ok)
Playoff Seed
Playoff result
My predictions
39-44 Wins
6th seed
Second round
I hope we do better but this is at least realistic.
42-49, predicted 47 wins in another thread.
5 seed and hopefully avoid CLE for as long as they can.
Second round
Maybe stick the word "out" after the word "ass"
45-50 wins (if healthy)
3rd Round (if healthy)
If we hadnt signed Jennings I would have predicted fewer wins. Dont believe Rose could make it that far without a capable backup to help carry the load.
I'm going to say 38 to 43. I think I said either 37 or 38 in another thread but that's probably lower than the range should be IMO. It really depends on Rose's and Noah's health (and mindset in Rose's case). Neither 25 or 50 wins would shock me.
Going to toss in a quick disclaimer. I'm going to just give one number. I think a range is silly: 42-49 has a very high chance of being right as it's a pretty big range. Let's do a full ass hanging.
Wins: 44
Seed: 6th
Result: Loss to Boston Celtics in first round in 7 games.
I'll expect Rose to be out for 40 games. He's just damaged goods at this point.
So I'm counting on Jennings to play a lot -- still better than Calderone at this point. The big hole is who backs him up when he's the starter.
I feel Lee will be an improvement over AA. I didn't like AA's attitude, and I thought he was way too much a prima donna for his skill level, and a bit of a black hole. I'm hoping at a minimum we have addition by subtraction even if the stats are similar, hoping Lee is better fit/chemistry.
The question is what Noah can do. If we're lucky he plays 65-70 games and he bounces back to say 10 pts, 9 rb, 4 ast with decent defense roughly comparable to RoPez, though again, perhaps better chemistry with his leadership and intensity. Though he complained last year, and RoPez just plays his role, so we'll see. I'll say this is a bit of a wash, if he doesn't get another injury setback.
I think the bench is a question mark with two unknown Euros replacing D Will and Seraphin/Admunsen, and losing 2 backup PGs (Grant and Galloway).
All that said, if we get lucky Noah stays on the court and gives that 10/9/4 I'll say they get 10 more wins on improvement in the backcourt alone, and a better, more stable coaching situation.
Wins: 42
Seed: 7 - first round loss
BTW, this is me being optimistic.
30-52
Only because I despise these for making me look silly every time I predict 45-50 wins.
So only between us I'm predicting 52-30. ECF+ or bust
48-53 wins, 3rd seed, eliminated in conference finals by Cavs.
Obviously with injuries it will be much worse.
I say we would have to make a 10 game improvement... so 42-40.
Worst case scenario? 35-47... we still have our lotto pick
Best case?... 50-32
gunsnewing wrote:30-52
Only because I despise these for making me look silly every time I predict 45-50 wins.So between us only I'm predicting 52-30. ECF+ or bust
I'm trying to figure out if you were saying somewhere between 30 and 52 wins or were saying a record of 30 wins and 52 losses. (I know your real prediction was 52-30 but not sure what the top was.)
http://www.raptorsrepublic.com/2016/07/1...From a Raptors blog. Some odds site has the Knicks, Raptors and Bulls all even for getting the third seed in the playoffs. They have the Celtics getting the second seed.
I am going with 48-52 wins. I think this team makes the second round of the playoffs and I think they have a good shot at the ECFS.
54+ wins. 4th seed. ECF bound.
CrushAlot wrote:http://www.raptorsrepublic.com/2016/07/1...
From a Raptors blog. Some odds site has the Knicks, Raptors and Bulls all even for getting the third seed in the playoffs. They have the Celtics getting the second seed. I am going with 48-52 wins. I think this team makes the second round of the playoffs and I think they have a good shot at the ECFS.
Interesting. They must be expecting Rose and Noah to have unusually healthy years.
I think this team has all kinds of potential. There's of course the very talented and balanced starting five of Rose, Lee, Melo, KP and Noah, but I like this team's depth as well. Jennings is the key that makes the big difference. For those who are not as high on this team just think about what it means to have 2 PG's that can actually make life hell for a defense. That's a HUGE factor for this team.
This team should be able to give good rest to Melo, Rose and Noah. The faster pace and better talent in the Rotation is a very compelling reason to be high on this team. The Intangibles are thru the roof. I like the improvement in athletic ability and defense. I think this team is made to excel in the playoffs. I expect Horny to preserve the starters for the post season.
I'm going with 50-56 wins and ECF's.
A few predictions here...
Porzingis will finish with an "All-Star Level" PER (20+) and will be much better offensively...
Rose will be closer to the "league average level" of 15 PER.
Joakim Noah will play 65-70 games and average about 25 minutes per...
I'm gonna go 42-47 wins, That's somewhere between 3-6 in the East and I'll take them to win one playoff series if they don't get matched up against Cleveland or Toronto in the first round.
y2zipper wrote:A few predictions here...Porzingis will finish with an "All-Star Level" PER (20+) and will be much better offensively...
Rose will be closer to the "league average level" of 15 PER.
Joakim Noah will play 65-70 games and average about 25 minutes per...
I'm gonna go 42-47 wins, That's somewhere between 3-6 in the East and I'll take them to win one playoff series if they don't get matched up against Cleveland or Toronto in the first round.
Hmmm. This year 42 to 47 wins would have been 6th to 9th seed.
Bonn1997 wrote:y2zipper wrote:A few predictions here...Porzingis will finish with an "All-Star Level" PER (20+) and will be much better offensively...
Rose will be closer to the "league average level" of 15 PER.
Joakim Noah will play 65-70 games and average about 25 minutes per...
I'm gonna go 42-47 wins, That's somewhere between 3-6 in the East and I'll take them to win one playoff series if they don't get matched up against Cleveland or Toronto in the first round.
Hmmm. This year 42 to 47 wins would have been 6th to 9th seed.
And last year 42 to 47 would have been the 5th seed (with the 8th seed winning 38 games), and the year before that 42-47 would have covered the the 5th and 6th seed (with 8th again winning 38), and the year before that 42-47 would have covered the 5th-6th seed, (8th seed had 38 wins), etc. and so on. Stuff changes every year, fathom that!
