In MSG down 0-2 they are heavy favorites to win on the road.
Fascinating.
Heard them talking about this on Unsportsmanlike this morning, particularly from a series standpoint.
They said from a sports book perspective, they have to skew the odds towards the casual audience and public perception. Boston is still being viewed favorably as defending champs and capable of running 4 straight. While trending performances and game/series context should dictate higher odds against Boston, they worry that the "true odds" would draw in too many bettors, and if Boston then does win, places too high of a liability on the sports books.
Referenced post-prime Tiger Woods as another example of them skewing odds unfavorably in the past.
But either way, fuck Boston.
5.5 point favorite maybe for the first 3-1/2 quarters. Until Brunson Burner kicks in.
Hijacking this into the Game thread
I recall when Boston fell down 0-3 to Miami a couple years ago they maintained "favorite" status the whole way even down 0-3.
It definitely seems like the league is shifting a little bit back towards power teams. So I hope we keep that in mind when rounding out the roster next year.
I don't really consider Pascal and Turner a "double big" lineup. Thats a pretty standard 4-5 combo.
The odds keep reducing though. The spread was wider games 1 and 2.
From a statistical standpoint I get it and would agree to its logic.
This is not about "disrespect" Why? Knicks lost all 4 to this team and they won 10 more games then us. They earned the cred and the math behind it.
Its also a team that built 20 point leads. Its one thing to lose two games. Its another to lose by blow out. These are very very close games. They won't blow every lead.
I have to assume game 3 to be a different pace and pattern. It would be incredible for this scenario to play out game after game.
Be great for knicks to deliver a knock out punch and go up 3-0.
Logically I can't fathom a knick sweep. Neither can the bookmakers.
martin wrote:You know he lit the fire
Pick your 12th man: PJ Tucker, Ryan Arcidiacano, or Theo Pinson?
MaTT4281 wrote:martin wrote:You know he lit the fire
Pick your 12th man: PJ Tucker, Ryan Arcidiacano, or Theo Pinson?
It's Arch, no question. How many three second violations have we had called against opposing teams since he left?
MaTT4281 wrote:martin wrote:You know he lit the fire
Pick your 12th man: PJ Tucker, Ryan Arcidiacano, or Theo Pinson?
Well, it's obviously all about occasion: Playoffs, post game after party, regular season
Nalod wrote:The odds keep reducing though. The spread was wider games 1 and 2.
From a statistical standpoint I get it and would agree to its logic.
This is not about "disrespect" Why? Knicks lost all 4 to this team and they won 10 more games then us. They earned the cred and the math behind it.
Its also a team that built 20 point leads. Its one thing to lose two games. Its another to lose by blow out. These are very very close games. They won't blow every lead.
I have to assume game 3 to be a different pace and pattern. It would be incredible for this scenario to play out game after game.
Be great for knicks to deliver a knock out punch and go up 3-0.
Logically I can't fathom a knick sweep. Neither can the bookmakers.
The more desperate team will often get the odds to shift in their favor as well. Vegas considers Boston better AND more desperate.
DLeethal wrote:It definitely seems like the league is shifting a little bit back towards power teams. So I hope we keep that in mind when rounding out the roster next year. I don't really consider Pascal and Turner a "double big" lineup. Thats a pretty standard 4-5 combo.
I was thinking exactly the same thing.
